Transcript Examination Of The Estuary Proposition: Huw Thomas

THAMES HUB AIRPORT
Global Context – City population 2012
Latitude
London
New York
Istanbul
Beijing
Tokyo
Dubai
Sao Paulo
Sydney
Metro Popn 2012
0
36,500,000
Global Population %
Longitute
Global Context
Global Context – London’s access to global GDP
GDP% within 13 hours
London
Istanbul
Beijing
Tokyo
Dubai
New York
Sao Paulo
Seats 2012
0
Sydney
85,677,685
GDP% within 3 hours
Regional Context
Stansted
Heathrow
London City
Gatwick
Thames Hub
Regional Context
Stansted
Heathrow
London City
Gatwick
Thames Hub
Air Traffic Movements – Capacity 2014
Annual Movements (flights)
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Amsterdam
Sources: BAA, Fraport, Schiphol Group, ADP, ACI
Frankfurt
Paris
Heathrow
Air Traffic Movements – Unused Capacity 2014
800,000
26.5%
Annual Movements (flights)
25.5%
600,000
30%
1.5%
400,000
200,000
0
Amsterdam
Sources: BAA, Fraport, Schiphol Group, ADP, ACI
Frankfurt
Paris
Heathrow
Air Traffic Movements – Capacity 2030
Annual Movements (flights)
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Amsterdam
Sources: BAA, Fraport, Schiphol Group, ADP, ACI
Frankfurt
Paris
Heathrow
With 3rd runway
Air Traffic Movements – Capacity 2030
Annual Movements (flights)
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Amsterdam
Sources: BAA, Fraport, Schiphol Group, ADP, ACI
Frankfurt
Paris
Heathrow
With 3rd runway
Maintaining the UK’s
hub status
Proposed Airport : Isle of Grain
24 Hour
110 million passengers
Expand to150 million +
4 runways
Resilient
Adjacent to HS1
Accessible from Europe,
UK, and London
Deliverable by the private sector
Carbon and Estuary
Efficiency reduces emissions
Surface Access
HS2
Crossrail
HS1
Surface Access – 20 trains each way per hour
Surface Access
Value to economy of belly freight
Flight paths over areas of low population
Noise
Ears don’t
read numbers
The number of people living within Heathrow’s 57L
(Source:CAA, courtesy of Airports
Aeq
Contour has fallen significantly despite higher numbers of air traffic movements.
Commissions)
Airspace
•Quote from NATS in TFL report SESAR Statements and need to replan.
•Question City impact. Means you close Heathrow,
Planefinder.net
Safety
Bird Strike
Coastal Airports
Tokyo International Airport
Hong Kong International Airport
Singapore Changi Airport
Ataturk International Airport
John F. Kennedy International Airport
San Francisco International Airport
Natural Environment Impact
Natural Environment Impact
Intertidal habitat replacement area in TE2100 report
Natural Environment Impact
Wallasea Island created by Crossrail spoil
1,266 live within the airport footprint
311
348
374
230
413
295
328
294
355
353
317
Usual Resident Population, 2011
Proximity to Thames Hub
Proximity to Heathrow
Cost – £20 billion
Item
£billion
Land Purchase / Legal Fees
Land reclamation
Site preparation
Formation of compensatory habitats for birds
Runways, taxiways and aircraft aprons
Terminal and satellite buildings and airport roads
Air traffic control equipment and navigational aids
Consolidation centres
Maintenance facilities
Ground support equipment facilities
Central plant to serve the campus
Fire stations and other rescue services
On-site access roads and landscaping
Long and short stay car parking
Airport offices
Compensation / Transition Costs
Total
3.44
1.77
0.07
1.21
1.93
7.71
0.06
0.02
0.09
0.05
0.14
0.10
0.25
0.42
1.24
1.50
20.00
DL figures two stage. Global benchmark local measure.
Cross checked by a leading airport operator and contractor
Heathrow third runway
£18 billion
Thames Hub 4 runways
£20 billion
The Business Model - Assumptions
RAB based, only passenger can pay
Promotion group, delivery sale to operator
Allocation of risk
Redevelopment at Heathrow
University
Commerical
Residential
Entertainment
Technology
Timeline and Process