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Session II.I
Improvement in economic
surveys
Workshop on national accounts for Asian member
countries of the organization of Islamic Conference
Ankara, Turkey
1-2 December 2008
by
Devi Manraj
IMF Regional statistics advisor
[email protected]
Data collection strategy
A well-designed and carefully managed
data collection strategy
Well designed questionnaires that meet
national accounting needs
Discussion
Essential features and factors to consider
2
Resource Constraints
Resources
(insufficient staff, no
means of transport, inadequate
funding, out of date business register)
Collection of detailed data
Time consuming
Expensive
Respondents’ burden
Frequent
collection of detailed data
may not be possible
3
Possible solutions
Solutions
A limited set of monthly/quarterly source
data on a timely basis
Some detailed Monthly/Quarterly data
with less timely basis
Most detailed and comprehensive data
• On a annual or
• Less frequent basis
Comprehensive benchmark data on a
periodic basis (5 – 10 years)
4
Censuses and Surveys
Good quality data is not cheap!!
Census of Agriculture
Census of Economic activities
Integrated Household Income and Expenditure
survey
Labour Force survey
Informal sector survey
Quarterly Economic Indicator Survey
(production and price surveys)
5
Administrative data
As by product of administrative system (cost
effective but not tailored to national
accounts)
Exports and Imports from customs records
Sales and purchases from VAT system
Accounting statements and Reports of
enterprises
Mandatory reporting system such as the
State Statistical Reporting System
6
Data dissemination strategy
Data must be disseminated and easily
accessible to all users per an
Advance Release Calendar
March 2008 GDP 2007 preliminary
estimates
September 2008 GDP 2007 provisional
estimates
March 2009 GDP 2007 revised
estimates
September 2009 GDP 2007 final
estimates
7
Data revision policy
Essential features of a revision policy
Balance between timeliness and accuracy
Advance release calendar
Documentations
Access to sufficiently long time series of revised data
Provision of detailed data in easily accessible formats
Information on accuracy and potential future revisions
Training and users education
8