Transcript Slide 1

Ryan King
Iurii Bugai
What factors influence the support of rightwing parties in Scandinavia?
 Immigration
• refugee vs. non refugees
 Economic Distress
• Control for economic crisis?
• Unemployment, GDP growth, inflation, etc.
 Institutional factors
• Similar across all 3 nations
• Changes in party system. Move to the centre?
 Welfare
state
• Increasing vs. decreasing expenditure per
capita
• Does high welfare reduce support for right wing
parties?
 Charismatic
Leader




Higher immigration (esp. higher refugee
immigration) = more support. Does immigration only
matter when the economy is bad?
Higher economic distress = higher support
Institutional Factors = More movement to political
centre creates a political space at the extremes. Take
advantage of people dissatisfied with current parties.
Welfare = Compare welfare in Norway vs.
Sweden/Denmark. Does Norwegian welfare have
less cuts but equal support?
 ERW
= β0 + β1 (Immigr) + β2 (EconDistr) +
β3 (PartSyst) + β4 (Welf) + β5 (Charism) + ε
Where
 ERW – Extreme Right-wing parties
 Immigr – Relative increase in immigration
 EconDist – Economic Distress
 PartSyst – Relative weakening of established
party systems
 Welf – Relative Change in Welfare Policies
 Charism – Presence of a Charismatic Leader
(dummy)
 Election
 Social
results
Surveys
 WVS
 Luxembourg
 Pippa
Norris
Income Study