Transcript Slide 1

Thailand
in the New Global Landscape
New Paradigm, New Vision, New Action
Suvit Maesincee
Sasin Institute for Global Affairs (SIGA)
Civilization in the Making
Society
Agriculture
Industry
Knowledge
Community
Rural
Urban
Virtual
Days
Seconds
Pace of Change Months
Centricity
Country
Corporation Citizen
Regime
Imperialism Capitalism
Cosmopolitanism
Changing the State of Nature
Country
A
B
C
Nation-State
Company
People
Solid Modernity
Liquid Modernity
• Connectivity
• Interactivity
• Mobility
• Virtuality
Three Major Gaps
CURRENT
FUTURE
Given environmental trends, what
will be the likely organizational
vision?
Assumptions What are our scope
About
About
of business?
Mission
Mission
Assumptions What are our core
About Core values/competencies?
Competencies
Transformation Gap
Assumptions What is our organization
Assumptions
About
About
environment?
Environment
Environment
Strategic Gap
Given our organizational vision,
what will be the likely our scope
of business?
Capability Gap
Given our future scope of
business, what capabilities/values
will be necessary?
• Global Dynamics
• Global Forces & Trends
• Thailand’s Lost Decades
Passing through the Sea of Change
Geo-Political
Change
Demographic
Climate
Change
Change
Geo-Political Change…
Global Power Shifts
Power Diffusion
Globalization
from Below
Citizen
The Rise
of the Rest
Corporation
Country
Power Transition
European
Century
American
Century
Asian
Century
Geo-Political Change…
The New World Order
Uni-polarity
• Military Power
Multi-polarity
• Economic Power
Non-polarity
• Transnational Relations
Source: Joseph S. Nye; The Future of Power
Geo-Political Change…
Power Transition
World Economic Structure
Global GDP* %
75
Developed Countries
The Triad
The Rise of the Rest
50
Developing Countries
The Rest of the World
25
1820
70
1913
Source: The Economist
50
73
The Rise of Asia
2005
The Rest of Asia
China/India
Geo-Political Change…
The New USA
Source: ADB (2011)
Geo-Political Change…
Regional Integration
3,284 mil
ASEAN + 6(50% World
Population)
ASEAN +
ASEAN
2,068 Mil
3 (31% World Population)
585 Mil
(9% World Population)
12,250 bil US$
(22% World GDP)
9,901 bil US$
(18 % World GDP)
1,275 bil US$
(2 % World GDP)
Economic Structure of All ASEAN Nations
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
70,000
In 2009, ASEAN’ GDP is 1,496,341 US$
million
• 1,359,113 millions or about 90.8% is from
ASEAN6
• 137,228 millions or 9.2% id from CLMV.
1,033,000
62,200
60,000
50,30050,000
40,000
580,300
600,000
30,000
416,400
400,000
351,200
20,000
292,200
278,100
14,700
200,000
10,000
8,700
15,4202,400
0
29,460
2,000
Lao (2009) Cambodia
(2007)
60,070
3,100
3,500
4,300
19,880
1,100
Burmar
(2009)
0
Vietnam
(2009)
Philippines Indonesia
(2009)
(2009)
GDP
Malaysia
(2009)
GDP per capita
Thailand
(2009)
Singapore
(2009)
Brunei
(2008)
Source: CIA World Fact book
• In 2009 CLMV’s population was about 28% that of ASEAN; their economy size, however, was only 137,228 US$ Million, about
9.2% that of ASEAN.
• Indonesia has the biggest economy in terms of GDP while Singapore performs the best in terms of wealth distribution.
Economic Structure of All ASEAN Nations
100%
0.00
90%
20.50
29.80
14.90
27.20
43.20
70%
31.70
60%
31.70
45.60
74.10
46.80
40.20
30.00
41.60
20.00
Agriculture
40%
72.80
30%
20%
10%
0.70
10.40
29.00
80%
50%
13.70
9.10
54.60
38.50
41.00
36.80
39.20
49.30
38.30
Manufacturing
Service
44.00
25.30
0%
Source: CIA World Fact book
Net FDI in ASEAN
Net FDI Inflow to ASEAN (2010), Million USD
Country
Intra-Region
Inter-Region
Total FDI
Share of FDI (%)
Brunei
89.6
539.9
629.5
0.8
Cambodia
349
433.6
782.6
1.0
Indonesia
5,904.2
7,400.1
13,304.3
17.6
Laos
135.4
197.2
332.6
0.4
Malaysia
525.6
8,630.2
9,155.9
12.1
Myanmar
-
-
-
-
Philippines
(7.8)
1,720.8
1,713
2.3
Singapore
3,377
32,143.2
35,520.2
46.9
Thailand
433.6
5,886.1
6,319.7
8.3
Vietnam
1,300
6,699.1
8,000
10.6
ASEAN
12,107
63,650
75,757
100
Source: ASEAN Sec
ASEAN’s Business Environment
Country Domestic Minimum
Market
Wage
Size
Export
Cost
Ease of Ease of
creating getting
business credit
finance
Thailand
Singapore
Malaysia
Philippines
Indonesia
Brunei
Vietnam
Burma
Laos
Low Competency
N/A
Medium Competency
N/A
High Competency
N/A
Source: OSMEP
The Rise of ASEAN Middle Class
• ASEAN Middle Class: 156 million
people (26% of ASEAN population)
• Financial Times expects ASEAN
to have middle class population at
approximately 300 million people
by 2015
• By 2030, the number of middle
class segment in Indonesia could
rise by more than 50 million, in
Malaysia by 20 million and in
Thailand by more than 25 million
Affluent:
Brunei, Singapore
Mainly Middle Class:
Malaysia, Thailand
Transitioning to Middle Class:
Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam
Low Income:
Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar
ASEAN Class Structure
IMD Overall Competitiveness 2007 – 2011
Rankin
0
g
2007
2
2008
2
2009
2010
2011
1
3
10
3
10
15
17
19
20
16
18
20
18
19
Malaysia
23
27
27
29
30
26
30
33
40
Thailand
26
31
35
40
39
42
43
27
32
37
Indonesia
Philippines
Singapore
China Mainland
India
41
45
50
51
54
59
60
Source: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011
* out of 59 countries
ASEAN Country Analysis
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
Strengths
• Major Agricultural production base of
the world
• Located in the center of the region
• Relatively strong basic infrastructural
system
• Strong banking system
Strengths
Large market size
Highest number of Muslim people
Large and diverse natural resources
i.e. coal, gas, crude oil and metal
High Skilled Labour
Strong banking system
Strengths
High GDP per capita (rank 3rd in
ASEAN)
Large oil and gas reserve
Strong Infrastructural system
High Skilled Labour
Weaknesses
• Majority of labour are low-skilled labour
• Production technology is limited to
medium advancement
Weaknesses
The geographical country structure is
mainly scattered small islands
Relatively weak infrastructural
system (esp on transportation)
Weaknesses
Relatively low number of population
Labour shortage (esp low-skilled
labour)
Source: NESDB, DTN
ASEAN Country Analysis
Brunei
Philippines
Vietnam
Strengths
• High GDP per capita (rank 2nd in
ASEAN)
• High political Stability
• Export crude oil (rank 4th in country
with highest amount of crude oil
reserve)
Strengths
Relatively large market size (rank
12th in highest population country)
Use English as major communication
language
Strengths
Relatively large market size (rank
14th in highest population country)
Large oil reserve
High political stability
Low labour wage
Weaknesses
Small market size
Labour shortage
Weaknesses
Located in a more distance than
other ASEAN country
Relatively weak infrastructural
system and social well being
Weaknesses
Relatively weak infrastructural
system
High business transaction cost (land,
and rent)
Source: NESDB
ASEAN Country Analysis
Cambodia
Laos
Burma
Strengths
• Abundant natural resources
• Low labour wage (1.6 USD/ day)
Strengths
Abundant natural resources
High Political Stability
Low labour wage (2.06 USD/ day)
Strengths
Abundant natural resources (oil and
natural gas)
Located next to China and India
High political stability
Low labour wage (2.5 USD/ day)
Weaknesses
Small market size
Labour shortage
Weaknesses
Located in a more distance than
other ASEAN country
Relatively weak infrastructural
system and social well being
Weaknesses
Relatively weak infrastructural
system
High business transaction cost (land,
and rent)
Source: NESDB
ASEAN Country Analysis
Singapore
Strengths
Highest GDP per capita in ASEAN
High political Stability
International Financial Transaction
Center
High Skilled Labour
High capability in human and
business management
Good transportation location
Weaknesses
• Rely on importation of raw material a
lot
• Low-skilled Labour shortage
• High Business transaction cost
Source: NESDB
Thailand’s Trade & Investment Policy
1960s:
1970s:
1980s:
1990s:
Early 2000s:
2015 & Beyond:
Import Substitution
Export Promotion
Foreign Direct Investment
Trade Liberalization
Dual Track Development
Asian Economic integration
ASEAN Community Objectives
• To accelerate the economic growth, social progress and
cultural development of the region
• To promote regional peace and stability in the region
• To promote active collaboration and mutual assistance
• To maintain close and beneficial cooperation with international
and regional organizations
Source: ASEAN Sec
ASEAN Community – The 3 Pillars
One Vision, One Identity, One
Community
ASEAN Political Security
Community
•A rules-based community
with shared values and
norms
•A cohesive, peaceful and
resilient region with shared
responsibility
for
comprehensive security
•A dynamic and outwardlooking region in an
increasingly integrated and
interdependent world
ASEAN Economic
Community
•Single market and
production base
•Competitive economic
region
•Equitable economic
development
•Integration into global
economy
ASEAN Socio-Cultural
Community
•Human development
•Social welfare and
protection
•Social justice and rights
• Environmental
sustainability
• ASEAN identity
Source: ASEAN Sec
ASEAN Community – AEC
ASEAN Economic Community (AEC): Single Market and Production Base
Free Flow of Goods
To eliminate trade barriers (Tariff and Non-Tariff) among ASEAN
countries
Free Flow of Services
To remove all restrictions on trade in service sectors as well as
allow more shareholding in service companies by ASEAN people
Free Flow of Investment
To provide enhanced protection to investors and promote
investment in ASEAN under the National Treatment Principle
Free Flow of Capital
To strengthen and integrate the ASEAN capital market and
allow greater capital mobility
Freer Flow of Skilled
Labour
To facilitate the movement of skilled labor in ASEAN countries (based
on the prevailing regulations of each receiving country)
Source: ASEAN Sec, DTN
ASEAN Community – Benefits
Bigger Market Size
- Large Population (ASEAN: 590 million people = 8.8% of world’s population)
- Economy of Scale (Lower production and transportation costs)
- Increased FDI (ASEAN had approximately 3.7 billion USD of FDI inflow in 2010)
More Negotiating Power
- Strength through coalitions when negotiating with other countries or regions
- Better terms to attract FTA
Better Production and Resource Network
- Full utilization of ASEAN resources
- Lower material and production costs
- Greater variety of output
Geo-Political Change…
Asia
Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)
•
•
•
PNG
Thailand
Philippines
•
•
•
Indonesia
South Korea
Japan
•
•
Malaysia
Vietnam
•
•
Brunei
Singapore
•
NZ
•
Chile
•
•
Australia
•
•
US
Peru
•
•
Mexico
Canada
America
Russia
Geo-Political Change…
A Major Change in the Realm of Global Politics
Nation-State
Global Civil Society
• Territorialization of Politics
• De-territorialization of Politics
• Globalization from Above
• Globalization from Below
• Uni-polarity/ Multi-polarity
• Non-Polarity
Geo-Political Change…
Along the Journey of Civilization
Occupy Wall Street Vs. Arab Spring
Differences
Common
Occupy Wall Street
• Inequality of Power
Arab Spring
Rich
Ruler
Poor
Ruled
• Inequality of Wealth
• Inequality of Opportunity
• Personal Technology X
Social Network as Enabler
- Hallo Effect
- Snowball Effect
- Domino Effect
Plutocracy
Democracy
Autocracy/
Absolute
Monarchy
Democracy
Geo-Political Change…
Arab Spring: Fundamental Transformation
Revolution 2.0
Closed
Society
Open
Society
Secularization
Islamization
Autocracy/
Absolute Monarchy
Liberal
Democracy
Geo-Political Change…
What is the New Regime?
Secularization
Critical Issues
• Nation Re-Building
• The New Political
Environment
Liberal
Democracy • Role of Women
• Sharia Vs. Freedom
• External Intervention
Autocracy/
Absolute
Monarchy
Islamization
Geo-Political Change…
Possible Outcomes
• Restoring of the Old Regime
• Military Takeover
• Unruly Fragmentation/ Civil War
• Creeping Islamization
Transition Period: 10-30 years
Geo-Political Change…
The Evolution of War
Total
War
Source: Joseph S. Nye; The Future of Power
Interstate
Wars
New Age
of War
•
Intrastate Wars + Transnational
wars involving non-state actors
•
War among the people
•
Hybrid wars--a fused mix of
conventional weapons, irregular
tactics, terrorism, and criminal
behavior in the battle space
Geo-Political Change…
The terrorist risk is transforming the foundations
of international politics
Formalization
of War
Individualization
of War
Direct / Certain
Indirect / Uncertain
Scope
State 2 State
Individual (s) 2 Mass
Pattern
Many 2 many
Few 2 Many
Approach
Geo-Political Change…
What differentiate the old nation-state security
agenda from the new post-national security
agenda is the regime of non-knowing
Agent
Agent
Potential
Intention
Nation-State
Security Agenda
Potential
Intention
Post Nation-State
Security Agenda
Demographic Imbalance…
The World Population Growth
1950
2.5 bn
1975
4.1bn
Resource
Constraints
2000
2025
2050
6.1bn
8.0bn
9.2bn
• Shortage of Foods
• Shortage of Energy
• Shortage of Water
Source: UN, FAO, BBC
The First World of the Aging Industrialized Nations
South Korea
Developed
Countries
The
First
World
North America, Europe,
and Asia’s Pacific Rim
The
Second
World
The
Third
World
Developing
Countries
Aging
Society
Dynamic Young
Society
• It’s total population is
projected to decline by
almost 9% by 2050 (from 48.3
million to 44.1 million)
• Its working-age segment is
expected to drop by 36%
(from 32.9 million to 21.1
million)
• The number of citizen aged
60 and above will increase by
almost 150% (from 7.3 million
to 18 million)
The Third World of fast growing, young, and
increasingly urbanized countries with poorer
economies and often weak governments
Developed
Countries
• Today, roughly nine out of
ten children under the age
of 15 live in developing
countries
The
First
World
The
Second
World
The
Third
World
Developing
Countries
Aging
Society
Dynamic Young
Society
• Over 70% of the world’s
population growth,
between now and 2050,
will be concentrated in 24
countries, all of which are
classified by the World
Bank as low income or
lower-middle income
The Second World of fast growing & economically
dynamic countries with a healthy mix of young and
old inhabitants
Thailand’s
Potential
Supportive Ratio
The
First
World
The
Second
World
Brazil, Iran,
Mexico,
Thailand,
Turkey, and
Vietnam
The
Third
World
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2000
Source: Kua Wongboonsin
2020
2050
Climate Change…
Asean countries are likely to face more severe
consequences of the climate change than the
global average due to limited adaptive capabilities
Climate Change…
Climate change is affecting or will affect a wide
range of industry sectors, some more than others
Environmental Climate Dimension (+)
Double
Winners
Beneficiaries from Climate Change
under Government Control
Construction&
Associated Sector
Tourism
Building Materials,
AutoPaper Industry
motive
Metal Industry
Energy Sector
(-)
(Fossil Fuels)
Chemical
Industry
Textile
& Clothing
Transportation
Mechanical
& Electrical
Engineering
Finance
Renewable
Energies
Agriculture
& Forestry
Regulatory
Market
Economy
Condition
(+)
Food
Industry
Beneficiaries from Government
Measures with Climate Risks
Double
Losers
(-)
Source: DB Research
Climate Change…
Both developed and developing countries actively
engaged in the Copenhagen Accord last year
Mexico Accord
2010
Copenhagen Accord
2009
•
•
•
•
Reduction of GHG Emission by
both developed & developing
countries
Low Carbon Development
Pathway
Reduction of emissions
through deforestation and
degradation (REDD+)
Copenhagen Green Climate
Fund & Technology Transfer
Linkage to trade
measures
Carbon
Credits
REDD+
Emission
Trading
Adaptation
Nationally Appropriate
Mitigation Actions
(NAMAs)
Carbon Off-shoring
Numerical targets
of emission
reductions
Sectoral Approach for
Heavy Emitters - e.g.
Steel, Cement, Electricity ,
Paper pulp …(possibly
including agriculture sector)
Finance
Carbon Leakage
Technology
Climate Change…
Food and Fuel Security
Food
Fuel
• Focus on climate change mitigation or resilience plan
• Improve farm productivity through education and other
supportive measure i.e. land utilization, irrigation
system, infrastructure and technology etc.
• Offer incentive to attract more investment on food
production
• Form a collaborative network with other countries to
do R&D on food security issue
• Improve energy efficiency
• Encourage on renewable energy
• Classify and separate type of food base on purpose i.e.
food for hunger and food for energy and formulate plan
focusing on the purpose of each type of food
• Form a collaborative network with other countries to do
R&D on energy issue
Climate Change…
Offshore Farming
The 1st
Wave
Manufacturing
The 2nd
Wave
Services
The 3rd
Wave
Food & Agriculture
Resource wars – the world will demand 70 percent more food by 2050,
outstripping population growth
Cash-rich Arab and Asian governments are buying up arable farmland all over
developing world
- Chinese businesses are investing in South America and Africa, not only to gain
access to commodities, but to get in position to profit from sales to the emerging
middle class
- China is also buying up large tracks of land throughout Africa to produce biofuels
and to produce food
- India's companies have formed a consortium to invest in corporate farming of
oilseeds in Latin America, most notably Uruguay and Paraguay
The Age of Extremity
Nature Extreme
Economic Extreme
Political Extreme
Social Extreme
e.g., floods, droughts and other effects
from global warming that occur more
often with more severe damages.
e.g., economic and financial crisis in
EU that may lead to the end of
Eurozone or the “Occupy Wall Street”
phenomena in the United States.
e.g., Arab Spring, Wiki-Leak
e.g., income disparity and inequality
that happen around the world, even
with the United States, or the resource
hoarding between local people due to
the extremity of nature.
The Age of Constraints
Sustainability
Bounded
Prosperity
Stability
Security
• Global Dynamics
• Global Forces & Trends
• Thailand’s Lost Decades
Independence
Global Forces & Trends
Individualization
Democratization
Humanization
Commonization
Dependence
Source: Suvit Maesincee—Thriving in the New Age of Global Capitalism
Interdependence
Commonization…
Globalization of Risks & Threats
Global
• Financial Turmoil
• Economic Crisis
• Pandemics
• Climate Change
Local
• Terrorism
• Mass Production
of Refugee
• Extreme Poverty
• Genocide
• Civil War
Local
Global
Gearing towards the Free Culture
New Principle
• Free to Share
• Free to Take
• Wikipedia
• MIT open courseware
• Open source software
New Practices
• Nobody owns
• Everybody can use it
• Anybody can improve it
Migrating towards Open Collaborative Platform
• IBM, Intel, AT&T, Eli Lilly and many
others are decentralizing R&D
Proprietary
• At Google, the motto is “the many
•are smarter than the few”
• The fastest growing academic fields
are sciences like behavioral economics
Open
Close
and nanotechnology, which combine
experts from many different fields to
solve problems
• China, India, Brazil and South Korea
have begun moving away from
Public Domain
proprietary, closed software and
toward an open-source model
Humanization…
The New Age of Global Capitalism
Communal
Value
Care & Share Society
Knowledge Society
Self-Centered
Value
Industrial Society
Secular
Rational Value
Source: Suvit Maesincee “Thriving in the New Age of Global Capitalism”
Self Expression
Value
Moving towards Philanthro-Capitalism
Global
Corporate Citizenship
Social
Corporate
Social Entrepreneurship
Corporate
Social Responsibility
Corporate
Philanthropy
Economic
Corporate
Governance
Local
Global
Democratization…
A Flood of Democratizations
Democratization of
Consumption
From the Top of Pyramid
to the Bottom of Pyramid
Democratization of
Consumer
From Product Centricity
to People Centricity
Democratization of
Innovation
From Intellectual Property
to Wisdom of the Crowd
Democratization of
Ownership
From Private Investors
to Citizen investors
Democratization of
Politics
From Representative to
Participative Democracy
Democratization of Consumption
Top of the Pyramid
Middle of the Pyramid
Bottom of the Pyramid
Democratization of Consumer
• Creating Space
Consumer
• Blogs, UGC, Podcast
C2C
• Social Networks, Virtual Worlds
B2C
Business
• Connecting Space
• Collaborating Space
• Wiki, Open Source
• Reacting Space
B2B
• Tags
• Organizing Space
Business
Consumer
• Forum, Ratings, Reviews
Market are conversations, consisting of human beings,
not demographic sectors
Democratization of Innovation
Close
Open
From R&D to C&D
Free
Revealing
Model
Private
Investment
Model
Close
Collective
Action
Model
Free
Riding
Model
Open
P&G sets up a new position called
Director of External Innovation who
is responsible for connecting internal
development with external innovation
It is projected that within 5 years,
half of P&G’s innovations will come
from outside
P&G has 8,600 in-house scientists
with the new product development
knowledge, while it has a whopping
1.5 million external people
Individualization…
An Emergence of Individualized Culture
• Self Defined Culture
• De-traditionalization
• Self-Invention/
Reinvention
• Collective Individuals
• Contra-Individuals
• Technology enables everyone
to be an expert
• Individuals are becoming
authors of their own lives and
identities
• People trust institutions less
Macro
We are living in a pluri-cultural environment
Global Culture
Cosmo Culture
Micro
Self
National Culture
State
Local Culture
Non-State
Independence
Global Forces & Trends in the Different Contexts
Individualization
• Country Level
Democratization
• Corporate Level
Humanization
Commonization
Dependence
Interdependence
• Citizen Level
Independence
Implication: Country Level
National
Sovereignty
Regional
Integration
Global
Governance
Dependence
Source: Suvit Maesincee—Thriving in the New Age of Global Capitalism
Interdependence
Independence
Implication: Corporate Level
Competitive Edge
Co-opetition
Compliance
Dependence
Source: Suvit Maesincee—Thriving in the New Age of Global Capitalism
Interdependence
Independence
Implication: Citizen Level
Self Expression
Value
Care & Share
Value
Communal
Value
Dependence
Source: Suvit Maesincee—Thriving in the New Age of Global Capitalism
Interdependence
• Global Dynamics
• Global Forces & Trends
• Thailand’s Lost Decades
Thailand is in an Extremely Vulnerable Position
Perpetual Crises
Financial
Political
Quasi
Crisis
Turmoil
Man-made Flood
1997
2007-2010
2011
Thailand’s Strategic Traps
Credibility Traps
Public
People
•
A Quest for Legitimacy
•
A Quest for Integrity
•
A Quest for Competency
Private
Inequality Traps
Value Creation Traps
•
A Quest for Fair Accessibility
•
A Quest for Global Vision
•
A Quest for People Empowerment
•
A Quest for New Growth Engines
•
A Quest for Common Ground &
•
A Quest for New Set of Capabilities
Common Goals
Challenges & Issues Facing Thailand
Challenges
Issues
Hyper-conflict
Responsiveness
Complexity
Competitiveness
Uncertainty
Inclusiveness
Scale & Scope
of Change
Peacefulness
Rebuilding Thailand
Wealth of the Nation
Dignity of
the Nation
The New Social
Contract
Reshaping
Our Future
The Nation’s Strategic Thrusts
Investing in
Our People
Restoring the Dignity of the Nation
•
Nationalism
- Strong Versus Weak Nationalism
- Moderate Nationalism
•
Cultural Realignment
- Conflicting Cultures
- Cultural Lags
- Productive Vs. Unproductive Culture
•
Strong Strategic Intent
- Gearing towards a First World Nation
- Crossing Middle Income Traps
The New Social Contract
• Legal State, Rule of Law & Due Process of Law
• Acceptable Inequality
- Forced Inequality
- Felt Inequality
• Fairness Principle
- Horizontal
Equality
• Equality of Distribution
• Equality of Opportunity
• Equal Distribution of Power
- Asymmetry in
Initial Conditions
• Need-Based Fairness
• Scale Distribution
• Scalar Distribution of Responsibility
- Contractual
Agreement
• Procedural Distribution
• Right-based Fairness
• Equal Distribution of Responsibility
Challenges & Issues
Felt
Inequality
Level of Inequality
Unacceptable
Inequality
Forced
Inequality
Acceptable Inequality Level
Natural
Inequality
Reshaping Our Future
• New Growth Engines
- Growth for People not People for Growth
• New Socio-Economic Platform
- Asean, Asia & The World
• New Set of Competitive Edges
- Culture as a National Competencies
- Human-Technology Interactions
Investing in Our People
•
Strategic Dimensions
- Doing Good & Doing Well
- Global & Local Context
•
3L Model
- Love to Learn
- Learn to Learn
- Learn to Love
- Learn to Live
People Empowerment
Political
Reengineering
People
Empowerment
Unlocked
Policy
Dilemmas
Public
Administrative
Renewal
Unlocked Policy Dilemma
• Grand-Ground Strategy
• Centralization-Decentralization
• Capitalism-Democracy
• Fundamental-Populist Policies
• Globality-Locality
Political Reengineering
• Struggle for Political Power
- From Monopolization of Politics to Democratization of Politics
• Struggle for Political Ideology
- From Management of Election to Management of Nation
Public Administrative Renewal
• Function-Agenda
• Input-Outcome
• Conformity-Flexibility
• Big-Small Government
• Division of Labor-Public Private Partnerships
Thailand: A Decade Ahead
Wealth of the Nation
Political
Reengineering
People
Empowerment
Unlocked Policy
Dilemmas
Dignity of
the Nation
The New Social
Contract
Public Administrative
Renewal
Reshaping
Our Future
Investing in
Our People