Transcript SYRIAN INSURANCE MARKET OVERVIEW

SYRIAN INSURANCE
MARKET OVERVIEW
By Alistair Drew
7th November, 2007
MARKET OVERVIEW
•
In 1961, Syrian Insurance market was nationalized, and over the next
four decades, the market changed little, with market penetration remaining
at low levels.
•
The Syrian Insurance Company (SIC) has largely been protected from
competitive pressures by its monopoly position, while enjoying the luxury of
charging technical rather than commercial premium rates.
•
By the end of the 1990’s, there were signs of change as the government
began to realign its economic stance.
•
With the opening of other sectors of the economy to private enterprise,
there has been an increased need for commercial insurances. In many
cases though, this need has been met from outside the country and risks
are placed in the Lebanese and Jordanian markets on a non-admitted
basis.
MARKET OVERVIEW
•
In 2004, the government established an insurance supervisory authority,
the Syrian Insurance Supervisory Commission to license insurers.
•
Privately owned insurers were permitted to operate on an “off-shore”
basis in Syria’s free zones, from 2003/ 2004 and 2005, legislation was
enacted to set up the framework of a competitive market.
•
However, companies licensed to operate in the free zones were not
permitted to operate in Syria.
•
In 2005, the government introduced a revised insurance control legislation
which permitted the establishment of private insurers in competition with
SIC.
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS
•
The advent of private insurers operating in the market is likely to lead to a
reduction in rates, and for SIC having to actively compete for business.
•
Innovation and active selling of insurance is likely to lead to the market
growing quicker than it has done in the past, and there is also the possibility
that some of the illegal non-admitted business that flows to Jordan and/or
Lebanon, may instead remain in Syria with the local market.
•
Attached below, you will find a table expressing market premium as a
percentage of GDP and expenditure on a per capita basis expressed in US
Dollars (USD). Comparisons are made with Jordan and Lebanon.
Life/PA/Health
Non-Life (P&C)
%
per capita
%
per capita
%
per capita
Syria
0.0
0.04
0.6
6.88
0.6
6.92
Jordan
0.3
5.46
1.8
35.07
2.1
40.53
Lebanon 0.8
47.68
0.8
45.97
1.6
93.65
Source: Axco
Total
MARKET SIZE
•
In 2004, SIC reported a total premium income of SYP (Syrian Pounds)
6.56bn (USD 135.3mn), of which life accounted for a mere SYP 34.4mn
(USD 709,000).
•
During 2000-2004, there has been relatively no growth in the life account
whilst the non-life account has seen premiums increase from SYP 3.84bn
(USD 82.9mn) in 2000 to SYP 6.53bn (USD 134.6mn) in 2004.
•
Some of the increases have been due to rises in international reinsurance
rates, which have led to higher rates in the market, but there has also been
some real growth in the non-life account.
•
These figures underestimate the premium generated by the Syrian market
as a whole as a number of non-life risks are placed on a non-admitted basis
in the Lebanese and Jordanian markets.
MARKET SIZE
•
Life premium, estimated in millions of dollars, is believed to be placed
outside the country.
•
SIC currently writes no health insurance and its personal accident income is
accounted in a general accident classification, which also includes general
third party and burglary.
•
The following table shows gross market premiums in local currency and
USD for 2004, broken down into major classes:
Branch
Non-life
Premium local currency (mn) Premium USD % of total market
6,196.7
127.8
94.4
Life
34.4
0.7
0.5
Accident
330.9
6.8
5.1
6,562.0
135.3
100.0
Total
Source: SIC
MARKET SIZE
•
The following table compares the annual growth rates of non-life premium
income in local currency with the nominal GDP growth and inflation rates
from 2000-2004:
2000
2001 2002 2003 2004
Premium growth %
2.1
20.4
12.4
1.8
23.6
Nominal GDP growth %
10.4
5.5
4.8
6.0
1.2
(3.85)
3.0
1.0
3.9
5.0
Inflation rate %
Source: Unknown
•
The relative sizes and growth rates of non-life, life, and PA & Health
insurance from 2000 until 2004 are as follows:
MARKET SIZE
•
The two largest non-life classes are motor and marine cargo, which
accounted for 80% of 2004 premium income between them.
•
Reasons for the pre-eminence of compulsory third party motor are obvious,
whilst the unusual prominence of the marine cargo account presumably
owes much to the compulsory insurance of import cargoes.
•
The relative sizes of the major insurance classes in 2004 are shown in the
following graph:
Country comparison
POP
Syria
18m
Lebanon 3.77m
Oman
2.5m
UAE
4.5m
GDP
2005
23b
2.6%
17.5b
4%
32b
4.3%
120b
6.7%gr
Non life
EPI usd
124m
230m
226m
1290m
Market penetration
Syria
Non life
Per capita
usd
6.88 USD
Jordan
35 USD
Lebanon
45 USD
MARKET PARTICIPANTS
•
As of February 2007, eight new insurers have been licensed by the Syrian
Insurance Supervisory Committee and are now operating in the market in
competition with the Syrian Insurance Company and the Arab Union
Reinsurance Company.
•
The eight insurers licensed to operate are: United Insurance Company
Syria, Syrian Arab for Insurance Company (SAFI), Arope-Syria
Insurance Company, Syrian National Insurance Company, Syrian
Kuwaiti Insurance Company, The Arab Orient Insurance Company
(Syria), Syrian Trust Insurance Company, and the Arabia Insurance
Company-Syria.
•
In addition, the Syrian Insurance Supervisory Committee has approved in
principle the applications by three insurers, who will operate as takaful
insurers (Islamic Insurers), and who were expected to commenced
operations in 2007. The three insurers are: Al Aqila Insurance Company,
Nour Insurance Company, and the Syrian Qatari Insurance Company.
MARKET PARTICIPANTS
•
All companies licensed to operate in the market are Syrian registered joint
stock insurance companies.
•
Insurers are permitted to transact both life and non-life insurance business
without the need to establish separate operating companies and a number
of the new operators are expected to write life and non-life accounts.
RATIOS: PROFITABILITY
•
The underwriting and pre tax profits/losses for the non-life market over the
paid period 2000 to 2004 are show below.
Year
Underwriting profit/loss % of gross premium
2004
2,806
43.0
2003
n/a
n/a
2002
2,265
43.4
2001
1,707
36.7
2000
3,271
84.6
SOURCE: SIC
RETENTIONS
• In 2004, total net written premiums amounted to SYP
6.56bn (USD 135.3mn) of which SYP 5.79bn (USD
119.34) was retained by the SIC.
LOCAL REINSURANCE MARKET
•
Damascus is home to the Arab Union Reinsurance Company (AUR),
which is jointly owned by the governments of Syria and Libya. There are no
other locally established reinsurance companies.
•
SIC used to write some inwards international reinsurance business, but this
ceased some years ago and has been running off for the last few years.
•
SIC has long standing connections with international reinsurers and brokers
in London and the European Insurance markets and places its reinsurance
requirements with them.
LOCAL REINSURANCE MARKET
•
With the establishment of privately owned insurance companies in Syria, it
is not clear whether SIC will continue to make compulsory sessions to AUR.
•
AUR feels it has sufficient market presence to continue operating
successfully in the reinsurance market.
•
AUR also regards the establishment of new companies in the market as
a potential source of new business and that this together with its growing
international business will mitigate against the potential loss of state
business from SIC.
•
In addition to Syria and Libya, AUR is active in the regional market as a
reinsurer of business from inter alia Lebanon, Iran, India, Sudan, Egypt,
Pakistan, Indonesia, and Yemen.
LOCAL REINSURANCE MARKET
•
AUR estimates that its 2005 gross premium income was in the region
of USD 20mn and has reported an increase in its paid up capital from
USD 20mn to USD 30mn in 2004.
•
AUR’s increase in paid up capital reflects its intention to increase its
premium writings in the years ahead.
•
AUR writes a broad based account of treaty, facultative and
catastrophe reinsurance, both proportional and X/L from all the major
classes including a small life account.