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INFLATION ON COCO ISLE
Terms:
INFLATION: A rise in price level (TOOOOOO
MUCH MONEY chasing TOOOOOO FEW
GOODS!)
DEFLATION: A drop below the initial price
level
DISINFLATION: A lowering in price level which
does not drop below the original price
What is INFLATION?
A rise in price level that
DECREASES the purchasing
power of money
Who does it help or hurt?
Helps
DEBTORS
Borrow GOOD money and buy GOOD STUFF
Pay back BAD money
Hurts
CREDITORS
Loan out GOOD money and get paid back in BAD
INFLATION eats up INTEREST and EARNINGS
PEOPLE on FIXED INCOMES
Retirees on Social Security
2 KINDS OF INFLATION:
COST-PUSH INFLATION: prices rise because there
is an increase in the cost of inputs (factors of
production); supply shrinks in relation to demand,
pushing EQUILIBRIUM PRICE UP!
DEMAND-PULL INFLATION: prices rise because
there is an increase in demand (“gimmie-gimmie”);
demand increases in relation to supply PUSHING
EQUILIBRIUM PRICE UP!
Due to SUPPLY SHOCKS!
MEASURING INFLATION:
CPI - CONSUMER PRICE INDEX:
a tool the government uses to measure INFLATION (the
CHANGE IN PRICE of a market basket of goods and services
used by average households OVER TIME!)
compiled monthly by the BLS – Bureau of Labor Statistics;
they pick a BASE YEAR as 100 and compare current prices to
base year prices; > 100 = INFLATION; <100=DEFLATION;
most COMMON measure (See p. 339-40)
PPI- PRODUCER PRICE INDEX: tool that measures
inflation on the SUPPLY SIDE
GDP DEFLATOR: a tool the government uses to measure
INFLATION; more accurate, but less common
Compiled by Bureau of Labor
Statistics
PROBLEMS & SOLUTIONS:
PROBLEM=INFLATION; solution = SUCK money out
of the economy to slow things down (TIGHT MONEY
POLICY – CONTRACTION!)
PROBLEM=UNEMPLOYMENT; solution = BLOW
money into the economy to stimulate growth (LOOSE
MONEY POLICY – EXPANSION!)
CONTROLLING THE MONEY SUPPLY
FISCAL POLICY: What the
government can do (congress and
the president) – DUSTBUSTER!
MONETARY POLICY: What the
Federal Reserve can do – BIG VAC!
(Ben Bernanke – CHAIRMAN OF
THE FED – and his gang – THE
FEDERAL RESERVE BD.)
Keynesian Economics: Fiscal Policy
and Demand Side Economics
The Employment Act of 1946
Video Tutorial
EPISODE 26: Fiscal Policy (4:34)
FISCAL POLICY
TAX :
raise or lower taxes
--EXPANSIONARY POLICY (BLOW! to stimulate growth)
cut taxes! LOOSE MONEY!
--CONTRACTIONARY POLICY (SUCK! to fight inflation)
raise taxes! TIGHT MONEY!
SPEND:
increase or decrease spending
--EXPANSIONARY POLICY (BLOW! to stimulate growth)
increase spending!
--CONTRACTIONARY POLICY (SUCK! to fight inflation)
decrease spending
AUTOMATIC STABILIZERS &
DISCRETIONARY POLICY
AUTOMATIC STABILIZERS:
Changes in spending which DO NOT require deliberate
action from policy makers
Kick in when needed during an economic downturn
Example: UNEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS in a recession
DISCRETIONARY
Changes in spending that require the government to act
Corporate BAILOUT
New legislation on infrastructure projects like high speed rail,
to create jobs
FISCAL STIMULUS
HIGH MPC
LOW MPS
Secretary of the Treasury
Timothy Geithner
Federal Budget: (See Solman video)
DEFICIT:
Total amount by which EXPENDITURES exceed
REVENUES in a single year
SURPLUS:
Total amount by which REVENUES exceed
EXPENDITURES in a single year
DEBT:
Total amount of money owed by the federal
government, accumulated over the years
THE CROWDING OUT EFFECT
EPISODE 27: Crowding Out - Lags (5:51)
Video Tutorial
EPISODE 31: The Fed (2:30)
EPISODE 32: Monetary Policy (7:18)
MONETARY POLICY: The process by
which the Fed controls the money
supply
What is the Federal Reserve?
The central banking system for the
United States
Responsible for carrying on
MONETARY POLICY
Created in 1913 by the Federal
Reserve Act
12 District Banks – 25 Branches
Chairman of the Fed
Ben Bernanke
MONETARY POLICY
RESERVE REQUIREMENT (raise or lower – just NOT
done!)
OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS (buy or sell federal
government bonds)
INTEREST RATE (raise or lower the DISCOUNT
RATE or FEDERAL FUNDS RATE)
--DISCOUNT RATE: interest rate at which
member banks borrow from the federal reserve
--FEDERAL FUNDS RATE: interest rate at which
banks borrow from each other
TWO TYPES OF POLICIES:
EXPANSIONARY POLICY (loose money policy) geared
to stimulate growth and create jobs
…………………...BLOW MONEY INTO THE ECONOMY!
CONTRACTIONARY POLICY (tight money policy)
geared to slow growth and tame inflation)
……………………SUCK MONEY OUT OF THE ECONOMY!
The U.S. Economy Stagnated
in the 1970s
President Lyndon B. Johnson’s spending on the
Vietnam War and on his Great Society program
also depleted the U.S. treasury
Also, since the U.S. did not continue advancing,
they were caught by the Japanese and the Germans
in industries that the U.S. once dominated: steel,
automobiles, consumer electronics.
1973 OIL SHOCK
Yom Kippur War
STAGFLATION
POLITICAL POISON!
Video Tutorial
STAGFLATION: (30:00)
CARDS UP on INFLATION
1. A rise in the price level which
decreases the purchasing power of
money is called
a. inflation
b. deflation
c. disinflation
d. hyperinflation
e. stagflation
2. A decline in the price level is called
a. hyperinflation
b. inflation
c. stagflation
d. disinflation
e. deflation
3. A decline in the rate of inflation is
called
a. hyperinflation
b. disinflation
c. inflation
d. deflation
e. stagflation
4. Modern fiscal policy results from the
work of
a. Jean Baptiste Say
b. Arthur Laffer
c. John Maynard Keynes
d. Arthur Okun
e. Thomas Malthus
5. Which policy measure would a
Keynesian economist support to
combat recession?
a. doing nothing
b. balanced budget
c. decreasing wages
d. deficit spending
e. printing money
6. What is an appropriate fiscal policy
measure to combat recession?
a. decreasing the federal funds rate
b. increasing government spending
c. purchasing government securities
d. increasing the reserve ratio
e. There is no appropriate fiscal
policy measure to combat recession.
7. What is an appropriate fiscal policy
measure to combat inflation?
a. increasing government spending
b. increasing the discount rate
c. increasing the tax rate
d. increasing the federal funds rate
e. There is no appropriate fiscal
policy measure to combat inflation.
8. What is an appropriate fiscal policy
measure to combat stagflation?
a. increasing the discount rate
b. decreasing the tax rate
c. decreasing government spending
d. purchasing government securities
e. There is no appropriate fiscal
policy measure to combat stagflation
9. An example of discretionary fiscal
policy is
a. corporate bailouts
b. monetarism
c. Social security payments
d. open market operations
e. unemployment insurance
payments
10. An example of automatic stabilizer
in fiscal policy is
a. open market operations
b. corporate bailouts
c. monetarism
d. unemployment insurance
payments
e. Social Security payments
11. How many district banks make up
the Federal Reserve?
a. 5
b. 7
c. 10
d. 12
e. 14
12. How many people serve on the
Federal Reserve Board of Governors?
a. 5
b. 12
c. 7
d. 10
e. 14
13. Each member of the Federal Reserve
Board of Governors is appointed
a. to a 4-year term
b. for life
c. to a 14-year term
d. to a 10-year term
e. to a 6-year term
14. The primary tool of monetary policy
is
a. open market operations
b. the discount rate
c. the reserve ratio
d. government expenditures
e. taxation
15. The interest rate the Federal Reserve
charges for loans to banks is called the
a. consumer rate
b. discount rate
c. reserve rate
d. federal funds rate
e. prime rate
16. The interest rate on overnight loans
between banks is called the
a. consumer rate
b. discount rate
c. federal funds rate
d. reserve rate
e. prime rate
17. The main function of the Federal
Reserve is to
a. regulate the money supply
b. levy taxes
c. conduct fiscal policy
d. regulate wages
e. regulate international trade
18. A monetary policy measure to
combat inflation is
a. decreasing the tax rate
b. increasing government
expenditures
c. increasing the discount rate
d. decreasing the reserve ratio
e. decreasing the prime rate
19. A monetary policy measure to
combat recession is
a. increasing government
expenditures
b. increasing the reserve ratio
c. purchasing government securities
d. decreasing the tax rate
e. increasing the federal funds rate
20. The current head of the Federal
Reserve is
a. Rodrigo de Rato
b. Robert Zoellick
c. Paul Wolfowitz
d. Alan Greenspan
e. Ben Bernanke
21. A shortfall in the annual federal
budget:
a. inflation
b. recession
c. deficit
d. debt
e. depression
22. The total amount of money owed
by the federal government,
accumulated over the years:
a. debt
b. deficit
c. surplus
d. recession
e. trough
23. Government borrowing for
expansionary fiscal policy increases
demand for money and interest rates, so
part of the increase in government
spending is counteracted by a decrease in
private investment.
a. the wealth effect
b. the price effect
c. the income effect
d. the crowding out effect
e. the recession effect
24. The central banking system of the
United States:
a. the Treasury Department
b. the Commerce Department
c. FDIC
d. SEC
e. Federal Reserve
25. The current Secretary of the Treasury is
a. Timothy Geithner
b. Ben Bernanke
c. Alan Greenspan
d. Henry Paulson
e. Larry Summers
26. A supply shock (an increase in
the cost of an input) causes:
a. demand-pull inflation
b. cost-push inflation
27. If you want to stimulate the economy, a tax
cut should target people with
a. a high marginal propensity to save and
a low marginal propensity to consume.
b. a high marginal propensity to
consume and a low marginal propensity to
save.
28. High inflation and high unemployment:
a. deflation
b. disinflation
c. hyperinflation
d. stagflation
e. none of these
29. If the CPI is 138, prices
a. have decreased 38%.
b. have increased by 38%.
c. have stayed the same.
29. If we’re in a recession, we need a
a. tight money policy
b. loose money policy
29. A contractionary policy is a
a. tight money policy
b. loose money policy
END OF QUIZ
WHAT IS A TAX?
A compulsory charge or levy enacted by the
government to raise revenue to fund government
spending
May also be used to
Encourage behavior (TAX CREDIT/DECUDTION)
Discourage behavior (SIN TAX)
TAX SYSTEMS:
TAX REVENUE:
Arthur Laffer: Reagan’s Econ.
Advisor
High taxes harm the economy
by
Stifle INVESTMENT
(drawing CAPITAL away),
thus…
Stifle GROWTH, so…
TAX CUTS for the RICH
Stimulate investment, thus
Spur GROWTH!
Growth reduces DEFICIT
increases TAX REVENUES
Allowing gov’t to CUT
SPENDING
Laffer and Wanisky
Laffer Curve
Laffer Curve
Assume 15%
The Laffer Curve in…
THEORY
PRACTICE
1. The
largest source of federal revenue
is the
a. property tax
b. personal income tax
c. social security tax
d. sales tax
e. corporate income tax
2. The two largest sources of tax revenue for
state and local governments are
a. sales and property taxes
b. personal income and corporate income
taxes
c. sales and personal income taxes
d. sales and corporate income taxes
e. property and personal incomes taxes
3. The United States personal income tax is
an example of a
a. flat tax
b. fair tax
c. regressive tax
d. liberal tax
e. progressive tax
4. A sales tax is an example of a
a. regressive tax
b. progressive tax
c. fair tax
d. flat tax
e. liberal tax
5. A proportional tax is also known as a
a. liberal tax
b. regressive tax
c. fair tax
d. flat tax
e. progressive tax
END OF QUIZ