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Computational Modeling of
Macroeconomics
Adam Szatrowski '12
Stephen Sentoff '11
Introduction
Goals
Lack of literature
Humble roots
Prototype economy
Our Concept
Firms and Households
Observe the interactions, recording prices and
quantities
Observe key economic variables
Inflation (Δ Price Level)
Unemployment Rate
Consumption
Inventories
Perfect competition, with imperfect information
Agents
Households
Use a Cobb-Douglas consumption function for Cookies
Choose between savings and consumption
Preferences are randomized
Employment decisions, 2 ways
Firms
Use a Cobb-Douglas production function for Cookies
Choose between labor and capital
Seek to hold zero inventory at the end of each period
Simulation
Technical Aspects
500 lines of Object Oriented Python
Graphing using MatPlotLib
Initial State
Generate number of households and firms with randomized
preferences and production functions respectively
Periods
At the beginning of each period:
Households adjust wage expectations, affects labor supply
Firms estimate demand using a PID controller for inventory
The round begins, and agents engage in buying and selling
Decision Making
Households poll 2 random firms, optimize using the
lower price
Firms determine production based on previous demand
Firms poll 10 random workers, optimize production
using the average wage demanded
Households set wage rate based on previous
consumption, inflation, and wages
Key Parameters
1. Ratio of Firms to Households
2. Household and Firm endowed funds
3. Household wage indexation vs. consumption indexation
4. Workweek hour limit
5. Mean preference terms
6. Rounds of buying and selling in each period
Results
Questions