Supercell Storms - Kelvin K. Droegemeier
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Transcript Supercell Storms - Kelvin K. Droegemeier
Supercell Storms
METR 4433: Mesoscale Meteorology
Spring 2016 Semester
Adapted from Materials by Drs. Kelvin Droegemeier, Frank Gallagher III
and Ming Xue
School of Meteorology
University of Oklahoma
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Supercell Thunderstorms
A very large storm with one principal updraft
Quasi-steady in physical structure
– Continuous updraft
– Continuous downdraft
– Persistent updraft/downdraft couplet
Rotating Updraft --- Mesocyclone
Lifetime of several hours
Highly three-dimensional in structure
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Supercell Thunderstorms
Potentially the most dangerous of all the
convective types of storms
Potpourri of severe and dangerous
weather
– High winds
– Large and damaging hail
– Frequent lightning
– Large and long-lived tornadoes
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Supercell Thunderstorms
Form in an environment of strong winds
and high shear
– Provides a mechanism for separating the
updraft and downdraft
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Structure of a Supercell Storm
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Schematic Diagram of a Supercell Storm (C. Doswell)
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Structure of a Supercell Storm
Mesocyclone
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Supercell Structure
Forward Flank
Downdraft
Tornado
Rear Flank
Downdraft
Flanking Line/
Gust Front
Mesocyclone
Gustnado
Inflow
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
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Perturbation Pressure Field
Hydrostatic High
In Cold Pool
Inflow Low
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3D Flow in a supercell
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Animation of a Numerically
Simulated Supercell Storm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Egu
mU0Ns1YI
R. Wilhelmson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
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A Supercell on NEXRAD Doppler Radar
Hook Echo
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A Supercell on NEXRAD Doppler Radar
Hook Echo
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Where is the Supercell?
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Where is the Supercell?
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Supercell Types
Classic
Low-precipitation
High-precipitation
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Low Precipitation (LP) Supercells
Little or no visible precipitation
Clearly show rotation
Cloud base is easily seen and is often
small in diameter
Radar may not indicate rotation in the
storm although they may have a
persistent rotation
LP storms are frequently non-tornadic
LP storms are frequently non-severe
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LP Supercell
Side View Schematic
© 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado
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LP Supercell
Top View Schematic
© 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado
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LP Supercell
© 1995 Robert Prentice
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LP Supercell
© 1995 Robert Prentice
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Another LP Supercell
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
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A Tornadic LP Supercell
26 May 1994 -- Texas Panhandle
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© 1998 Prentice-Hall, Inc. -- From: Lutgens and Tarbuck, The Atmosphere, 7th Ed.
High Precipitation (HP)
Supercells
Substantial precipitation in mesocyclone
May have a recognizable hook echo on
radar (many do not, however)
Reflectivities in the hook are comperable
to those in the core
Most common form of supercell
May produce torrential, flood-producing
rain
Visible sign of rotation may be difficult to
detect -- Easily detected by radar
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HP Supercells
© 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado
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HP Supercells
© 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado
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HP Supercell
Heaviest
Precipitation
(core)
Kansas
Woods County,
Oklahoma
Oklahoma
4 OCT 1998
2120 UTC
KTLX
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Heaviest
Precipitation
(core)
Twenty
minutes
later …..
Kansas
Oklahoma
HP
Supercell
4 OCT 1998
2150 UTC
KTLX
Developing
Cells
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Classic Supercells
Traditional conceptual model of
supercells
Usually some precipitation but not
usually torrential
Reflectivities in the hook are usually less
than those in the core
Rotation is usually seen both visually and
on radar
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Classic Supercells
© 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado
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Classic Supercells
© 1993 American Geophysical Union -- From: Church et al., The Tornado
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Classic Supercell
Heaviest
Precipitation
(core)
Hook
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Hybrids
Class distinctions are much less
obvious in the real world!
Visibly a storm may look different on
radar than it does in person -- makes
storms difficult to classify
Supercells often evolve from LP
Classic HP. There is a continuous
spectrum of storm types.
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Supercell Evolution -- Early
Phase
Side View
Top View
Heaviest
Precipitation
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
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Supercell Evolution
Early Phase
– Initial cell development is essentially identical to
that of a short-lived single cell storm.
– Radar reflectivity is vertically stacked
– Motion of the storm is generally in the direction of
the mean wind
– Storm shape is circular (from above) and
symmetrical
– Key ingredients
» Conditional instability
» Source of lift and vertical motion
» Warm, moist air
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Supercell Evolution -- Middle
Phase
Side View
Top View
Heaviest
Precipitation
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
42
Supercell Evolution
Middle Phase
– As the storm develops, the strong wind
shear alters the storm characteristics from
that of a single cell
– The reflectivity pattern is elongated down
wind -- the stronger winds aloft blow the
precipitation
– The strongest reflectivity gradient is usually
along the SW corner of the storm
– Instead of being vertical, the updraft and
downdraft become separated
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Supercell Evolution
Middle Phase
– After about an hour, the radar pattern
indicates a “weak echo region” (WER)
– This tells us that the updraft is strong and
scours out precipitation from the updraft
– Precipitation aloft “overhangs” a rain free
region at the bottom of the storm.
– The storm starts to turn to the right of the
mean wind into the supply of warm, moist
air
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Supercell Evolution -- Mature
Phase
Side View
Top View
Hook
Heaviest
Precipitation
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
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Supercell Evolution
Mature Phase
– After about 90 minutes, the storm has
reached a quasi-steady mature phase
– Rotation is now evident and a
mesocyclone (the rotating updraft) has
started
– This rotation (usually CCW) creates a
hook-like appendage on the southwest
flank of the storm
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Supercell Evolution -- Mature
Phase
Hook
Echo
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Supercell Evolution
Mature Phase
– The updraft increases in strength and more
precipitation, including hail, is held aloft
and scoured out of the updraft
– As the storm produces more precipitation,
the weak echo region, at some midlevels,
becomes “bounded”
– This bounded weak echo region (BWER),
or “vault,” resembles (on radar) a hole of
no precipitation surrounded by a ring of
precipitation
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Supercell Evolution -- Mature
Phase
Slice
4 km
Bounded Weak Echo Region
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
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Splitting Storms
If the shear is favorable, both
circulations may continue to exist.
In this case the storm will split into two
new storms.
We will look at this in greater detail
later.
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Splitting Storms
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
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Movie of Splitting
Courtesy NCAR
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Left
Mover
Splitting Storms
Split
Right
Mover
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
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Updraft
The updraft is the rising column of air in
the supercell
It generally is located on the front or
right side of the storm
Entrainment is small in the core of the
updraft
Updraft speeds may reach 50 m s-1!!!
Radar indicates that the strongest
updrafts occur in the middle and upper
parts of the storm
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Updraft
Factors affecting the updraft speed
– Vertical pressure gradients
» Small effect but locally important
» Regions of local convergence can result in local
areas of increased pressure gradients
– Turbulence
– Buoyancy
» The more unstable the air, the larger the
buoyancy of the parcel as they rise in the
atmosphere
» The larger the temperature difference between
the parcel and the environment, the greater the
buoyancy and the faster the updraft
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Structure of a Supercell Storm
MesoCyclone
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Mesocyclone
A cyclonic vortex marking the updraft of
a supercell storm
Usually 2-10 km in diameter
Vertically coherent for a few km,
sometimes extending throughout a
significant depth of the storm
Vertical vorticity on the order of 10-2 s-1
Visually manifest as the wall cloud
Different mechanisms for mid-level and
low-level formation
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The Wall Cloud
MesoCyclone
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The Wall Cloud
MesoCyclone
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Wall Cloud
Cyclonic rotation and strong rising motion often are
visible within the wall cloud
The squared-off lowering results from low pressure
inside of the rotating updraft: as air approaches the
vortex laterally, toward, it condenses – just like air
that rises vertically toward lower pressure condenses
to form clouds
L
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The Wall Cloud
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The Wall Cloud
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The Wall Cloud
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3D Storm Simulation Courtesy Lou Wicker, NSSL
http://kkd.ou.edu/METR_4803_Spring_2005/Wicker_Movie.mov
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Some Storms Produce Mesocyclone
Families: Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis
Burgess et al. 1982
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Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis: Conceptual Model from
Numerical Simulation
Adlerman, Droegemeier, and Davies-Jones 1999
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Cyclic Mesocyclogenesis: Conceptual Model from
Numerical Simulation
&
Adlerman, Droegemeier, and Davies-Jones 1999
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Comparison With Observations
Computer Simulation
Mobile Doppler Radar
Courtesy J. Wurman
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Supercell Downdrafts
The same forces that affect updrafts
also help to initiate, maintain, or
dissipate downdrafts:
– Vertical PGF
– Buoyancy (including precipitation loading)
– Turbulence
Downdraft wind speeds may exceed 40
m s-1
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Supercell Downdrafts
We shall examine two distinct
downdrafts associated with supercell
thunderstorms:
– Forward Flank Downdraft (FFD)
– Rear Flank Downdraft (RFD)
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Forward Flank Downdraft
Associated with the heavy precipitation
core of supercells.
Air in the downdraft originates within the
column of precipitation as well as below
the cloud base where evaporational
cooling is important.
Forms in the forward flank (with respect
to storm motion) of the storm.
FFD air spreads out when it hits the
ground and forms a gust front.
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Rear Flank Downdraft
Forms at the rear, or upshear, side of the
storm.
Result of the storm “blocking” the flow of
ambient air.
Maintained and enhanced by the
evaporation of anvil precipitation.
Enhanced by mid-level dry air entrainment
and associated evaporational cooling.
Located adjacent to the updraft.
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Supercell Downdrafts
Forward Flank
Downdraft
Rear Flank
Downdraft
Inflow
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
74
Rear Flank Downdraft
Forms at the rear, or upshear, side of the
storm.
Result of the storm “blocking” the flow of
ambient air.
Maintained and enhanced by the
evaporation of anvil precipitation.
Enhanced by mid-level dry air entrainment
and associated evaporational cooling.
Located adjacent to the updraft.
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Supercell Downdrafts
Forward Flank
Downdraft
Rear Flank
Downdraft
Inflow
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
76
Formation of the RFD
Imagine a river flowing straight in a
smooth channel.
The water down the center flows
smoothly at essentially a constant
speed.
The pressure down the center of the
channel is constant along the channel.
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Formation of the RFD
Let us now place a large rock in the
center of the channel.
The water must flow around the rock.
A region of high pressure forms at the
front edge of the rock -- Here the water
moves slowly -- Stagnation Point
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Formation of the RFD
This happens in the atmosphere also!
The updraft acts a an obstruction to the
upper level flow.
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Formation of the RFD
The RFD descends, with the help of
evaporatively cooled air, to the ground.
When it hits the ground, it forms a gust front.
Upper-level
Flow
Updraft
RFD
FFD
Mid-level
Flow
Gust
Front
Inflow
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Supercell Updraft Rotation
In order for supercells to rotate, there
must be some type of rotation already
available in the environment.
We shall consider several different ways
of creating vertical vorticity or rotation
about a vertical axis:
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Vorticity Dynamics
Must consider 3D equations of motion
Can neglect Coriolis force
Vector Form
or
or
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Vorticity Dynamics
or
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Vorticity Dynamics
Recall the definition of vorticity as the
curl of the 3D velocity vector (del x V):
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Vorticity Dynamics
Taking del x momentum equation
gives
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Vorticity Dynamics
0
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Vorticity Dynamics
Rearranging gives
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Vorticity Dynamics
Rearranging gives
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Vorticity Dynamics
Tilting term can be written
w v w u
t
x z y z
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Vertical Wind Shear
Up
Westerly Winds
Increase in Speed
with height
North
East
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Vorticity Dynamics
Tilting term can be written
0
w v w u
t
x z y z
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Vertical Wind Shear
Up
Westerly Winds
Increase in Speed
with height
North
w u
East
t y z
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Development of Mid-Level
Rotation
Up
North
East
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Tilting
In order to create vertical rotation from
horizontal rotation, we must tilt the
horizontal rotation into the vertical.
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Tilting
In thunderstorms, this tilting is achieved
by the updraft.
Updraft
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Development of Mid-Level Rotation
+ or
Cyclonic
Thunderstorm
Up
- or
Anti-Cyclonic
North
w u
East
t y z
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Tilting
Viewed from above, we see a pair of
counter-rotating vortices:
“Positive Rotation”
“Negative Rotation”
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Tilting
Vortex Tube
Updraft
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
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Development of Mid-Level
Rotation
In this simple example, the updraft has no
NET rotation because the vortex pair
straddles the updraft
+ w>0
In most supercells, the updraft is dominantly
cyclonic. Why? The answer lies in the
STORM-RELATIVE winds.
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Storm-Relative Winds
Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System
40 mph
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Storm-Relative Winds
Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System
90 mph
40 mph
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Storm-Relative Winds
Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System
90 mph
130 mph
40 mph
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Storm-Relative Winds
Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System
Relative Velocity = 90 mph
Absolute
Velocity =
130 mph
Velocity of Coordinate System= 40 mph
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Storm-Relative Winds
Absolute velocity = Relative Velocity + Velocity of Coordinate System
Environmental Wind = Storm-Relative Winds + Storm Motion
Storm-Relative Winds = Environmental Wind – Storm Motion
Storm Motion = 30 mph
Environ = 20 mph
Storm-Relative = -10 mph
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Storm-Relative Winds
Storm-Relative Winds = Environmental Wind – Storm Motion
Storm Motion = 20 mph
Environ = 40 mph
Storm-Relative = 20 mph
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Storm-Relative Winds
Storm-Relative Winds = Environmental Wind – Storm Motion
Storm Motion = 20 mph
Environ = 40 mph
Storm-Relative = -60 mph
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The Only Thing that
EVER Matters is the
Storm-Relative
Wind
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Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
Want to intensify
the cyclonic vortex
on the south side
Vortex Tube
Updraft
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
108
Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
Want to intensify
the cyclonic vortex
on the south side
Vortex Tube
Updraft
Storm-Relative
Winds
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
109
Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
Storm-Relative
Winds
Vortex Tube
Updraft
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
110
Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
Vortex Tube
Storm-Relative
Winds
Updraft
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
111
Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
Vortex Tube
Storm-Relative
Winds
Updraft
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
112
Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
We obtain strong updraft rotation if the storm-relative
winds are parallel to the horizontal vorticity – or perpendicular
to the environmental shear vector
Vortex Tube
Storm-Relative
Winds
Updraft
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
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Vertical Wind Shear
Up
Westerly Winds
Increase in Speed
with height
North
East
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Vertical Wind Shear
Up
Shear = V(upper) – V(lower)
North
East
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Vertical Wind Shear
Up
Shear = V(upper) – V(lower)
North
East
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Vertical Wind Shear
Up
Shear = V(upper) – V(lower)
Shear Vector
East
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Development of Mid-Level
Rotation
Up
Note that the vorticity
vector points 90 deg to
the left of the shear vector
North
Shear Vector
East
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Importance of Storm-Relative Winds
We obtain strong updraft rotation if the storm-relative
winds are parallel to the horizontal vorticity – or perpendicular
to the environmental shear vector – because this leads to
immediate vortex stretching of the updraft
Shear Vector
Vorticity Vector
Storm-Relative
Winds
Play Movie
© 1990 *Aster Press -- From: Cotton, Storms
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Stretching (Convergence) Term
Becomes
u v
w
w
; here
0 and 0 implies
0
x y
z
z
t
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Development of Mid-Level
Rotation
Updraft - Stretch
Up
North
East
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Development of Low-Level
Updraft Rotation
Cannot be explained by stretching at
mid-levels alone because of w=0
condition at ground
Clear sequence of events precedes
rapid spin-up of vorticity at low levels:
– Decrease in updraft intensity
– Rear-flank downdraft (RFD)
– Cold outflow
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Supercell Structure
Forward Flank
Downdraft
Tornado
Rear Flank
Downdraft
Flanking Line/
Gust Front
Mesocyclone
Gustnado
Inflow
© 1993 Oxford University Press -- From: Bluestein, Synoptic-Dynamic
Meteorology -- Volume II: Observations and Theory of Weather Systems
123
Recall Horizontal Vorticity Generation
Along Temperature Gradients
Air travelling along a frontal zone will develop
a horizontal rotation.
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Role of Forward Flank
Downdraft
Air flowing along
the cold boundary
of the FFD enters
the mesocyclone
This horizontal
vorticity is tilted at
very low levels
and stretched
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3-D Depiction
From Klemp (1987)
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