Risk Management and Financial Institutions

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Transcript Risk Management and Financial Institutions

Mutual Funds and
Hedge Funds
Chapter 4
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
1
Open-End Mutual Funds
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Investments in mutual funds have grown from
$0.5 billion in 1940 to over $10 trillion in 2008
Most common type of fund is open-ended
This means that the number of shares in the
fund goes up as investors buy more shares and
down as they redeem shares
All purchases and sales of shares are at the
4pm net asset value (NAV) of the fund
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Tax
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Tax is paid as though the investor owned the
mutual fund investments
If the mutual fund realizes capital gains or
dividends during a year, the investor has to
pay taxes on the amount realized
The investor’s basis (i.e., the amount the
investor is assumed to have paid for the
mutual fund shares) is adjusted to avoid
double taxation when the shares are sold
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Types of Fund
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Equity
Bond
Money Market
Index
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Costs (Table 4.2)
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Annual fee
Front-end load
Back-end load
Relatively low in US
Relatively high in Canada, Denmark,
Finland, Italy, Norway, and Spain
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Closed-End Fund
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Consists of a fixed number of shares that
are traded in the same way as the shares
of any other company
The share price tends to be less than the
NAV calculated from the market value of
the investments
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs,
page 67)
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Usually designed to track an index
Started by an institutional investor that deposits a
block of securities and obtains shares in the fund
Shares are traded on an exchange
Large institutional investors can exchange shares in
the fund for the underlying assets, and vice versa
This keeps the share price close to the NAV of the
fund’s investments
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Advantages of ETFs over Open- and
Closed-End Mutual Funds
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Can be bought or sold (or shorted) at
any time of the day
Holdings are disclosed twice a day
Investments do not have to be sold to
cover redemptions
Share price close to NAV of underlying
investments
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Performance of Mutual Funds
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The classic study is by Jensen in 1969.
His results have been confirmed in later
studies
The average alpha of all funds is slightly
negative.
Good performance by a mutual fund
manager in the past is not a good guide to
future performance
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Jensen’s Results on the Persistence of
Good Performance (Table 4.3)
Number of Consecutive
Years of Positive Alpha
Number of Observations
Observations for which the
Next Alpha is Positive (%)
1
574
50.4
2
312
52.0
3
161
53.4
4
79
55.8
5
41
46.4
6
17
35.3
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4,
Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Mutual Fund Scandals (pages 68-70)
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Late trading
Market timing
Front running
Directed brokerage
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Mutual Fund Scandals
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Late trading
Market timing
Front running
Directed brokerage
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Hedge Funds
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Mutual Funds are restricted because
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Shares must be redeemable at any time
NAV must be calculated daily
Investment policies must be disclosed
Use of leverage is limited
Short positions cannot be taken
Hedge funds (also called alternative
investments) are not subject to these
restrictions
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Hedge Fund Fees
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A typical fee structure is 2 plus 20%
This means that the fund charges 2% per
year plus 20% of any profits
There may be lock up periods during
which funds cannot be withdrawn
Other features: hurdle rates, high water
marks, and claw backs
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Funds of Funds
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Funds of funds invest in the portfolios of
hedge funds
A typical fee used to be 1 plus 10%
It is now much lower
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Incentives of Hedge Fund
Managers (pages 72-73)
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The incentive component of the hedge fund
manager’s fee gives the hedge fund manager
a call option on the performance of the fund
in each year
The hedge fund manager has an incentive to
take high risks
Should a hedge fund manager choose an
investment with a 0.4 probability of a 60%
profit and a 0.6 probability of a 60% loss?
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Prime Brokers (page 74)
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Prime brokers
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handle hedge fund trades
determine the maximum leverage and collateral
requirements
borrow securities when the hedge fund is shorting,
etc
Large hedge funds typically use more than
one prime broker
The risks that hedge funds can take are to
some extent controlled by their prime brokers
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Types of Hedge Funds
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Long/short equity
Dedicated short
Distressed securities
Merger arbitrage
Convertible arbitrage
Fixed income arbitrage
Emerging markets
Global macro
Managed futures
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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Hedge Fund Returns (Table 4.5)
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Statistics produced by Credit Suisse/Tremont indicate
that hedge funds outperform the market
Its hedge fund index gained 8.73% per year on
average between 2004 and 2008 and lost 19.07% in
2008. The S&P 500 lost 4.1% per year on average
between 2004 and 2008 and lost 38.5% in 2008
However, the statistics may be biased in favor of
hedge funds that are doing well and report their
returns
Some researchers have argued that when biases are
removed hedge fund returns are no better than
mutual fund returns
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 2e, Chapter 4, Copyright © John C. Hull 2009
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