Methods and tools to assess impacts, vulnerability and and adaptation

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Transcript Methods and tools to assess impacts, vulnerability and and adaptation

Compendium of Methods and
Tools to Evaluate Impacts of, and
Vulnerability and Adaptation, to
Climate Change: structure and
scope
UNFCCC side event Adaptation: from assessment to action.
UNFCCC Compendium
Olga Pilifosova
UNFCCC secretariat
Buenos Aires 7 December, 2004
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Short history
• Requested by COP3
• Initial Compendium - 1999
• Extended mandate by the SBSTA – 2000/2001
• Linked to guidelines for non-Annex I National
Communications at COP 8 in Delhi in 2002
• Up-dated Compendium in 2002/2003
• Reviewed by an expert meeting on V&A
assessment in Manila in April 2004
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What is included?
• A number of frameworks, such as IPCC Technical
guidelines, APF, UKCIP, NAPAs,etc.
• Methods&tools for different stages/steps of
assessment
– Methods: used to assess specific issues under an
approach e.g. CC scenarios, cost analysis, risk
assessment, stakeholder approaches etc.
– Tools: expert judgement; models; risk assessment tools;
etc.
• Sources: UNEP HB, USCP, UN projects, AID
programmes, academic institutions, NGOs, etc.
More than 90 methods
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How it is structures?
• Frameworks and Supporting Toolkits
• Cross-Cutting Issues and Multi-Sector Approaches
– Application of Scenario Data in Impact and Adaptation
Assessment
– Decision Tools
– Stakeholder Approaches
– Other Multisectoral Tools
• Sector Oriented Tools
– Agriculture
– Coastal zone
– Water
– Health
– Forest and vegetation
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Structure of the information about
methods
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Description.
Appropriate use.
Scope.
Key tools.
Key outputs.
Key inputs.
Ease of use.
Training required.
Training offered.
Computer requirements.
Documentation.
Applications.
Contacts for tools, documentation, and technical assistance
References.
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Links to methodologies in the NAI guidelines/User
Manual and NAPAs
• NAI guidelines encourage use of “appropriate”
methodologies
• Report on:
– general approaches/frameworks for assessment
– climate change and socio-economic scenarios, if
appropriate
– different methods and tools for impacts assessment
– evaluation of adaptation options and strategies
– policy frameworks for adaptation
• Methodological needs (GCE, NAI NCs) include regional
modeling, vulnerability tools, socio-economic analysis,
assessment of adaptation options, etc.
• Compendium includes NAPAs guidelines as a framework
and a number of tools that can be useful for rapid/bottom
–up assessment of vulnerability and identifying priorities
for adaptation
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What the Compendium does and does not
•
is relevant for both “scenario-driven” and
“vulnerability-based” approaches
•
provides users with key information about
available frameworks and tools
•
not a manual/“cookbook” describing how to
implement each tool, but rather a survey
•
is part of an ongoing process and should be
considered a living document
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Expert meeting on V&A methods/tools
25-26 April, Manila
• Identified short-term and long term work on the
Compendium, including:
– Adding new methods identified at the meeting;
– Refining and up-dating information;
– Creating a data base
– Introducing more “evaluative” approach to information
on methods
– Conducting periodical reviews updating
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Conclusion
Purpose of the work
– To enhance the dissemination of information on available
methods, particularly for use by developing countries in
V&A assessments
– To assist all Parties in selecting and applying the best
available methods by providing comprehensive, yet
concise, information about their key features
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and finally…
The Compendium is on the UNFCCC website:
http://unfccc.int/adaptation/methodologies_for/vulnerability_and_adaptation/items/2
674.php
Please visit and contribute !
Acknowledgments
• Stratus Consulting and group of experts for helping in
developing the Compendium
• 14 Experts for reviewing the Compendium during the
Manila Meeting
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