Transcript Mikko Strahlendorff

Space/GMES and Climate Change
Mikko Strahlendorff, GMES Bureau
GMES Overall View
USERS
Policy
Makers
&
Public
&
Private,
Commercial
What is
their need?
Examples of
Services Provided
Farming
Oil Spill Tracking
Air Quality
Flood
Surveillance
Arctic change
Information
Services
Land
Marine
Atmosphere
Space
Infrastructure
&
Emergency
In Situ
Infrastructure
OBSERVATION
Security
Climate
Sustainable
observation
GMES Components
GMES is an EU led initiative
In-situ component – coordinated by EEA
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Observations mostly within national responsibility
with coordination at European level
air, sea- and ground-based systems and instruments
Space Component – coordinated by ESA
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Sentinels - EO missions developed specifically for GMES:
Contributing Missions - EO missions built for purposes other than
GMES but offering part of their capacity to GMES
(EU/ESA MSs, EUMETSAT, commercial, international)
Service Component – coordinated by EC
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Earth System services - Land, Atmosphere, Marine
Crosscutting services - Emergency response, Security, Climate
Change
Sea Level Change 1970-2010
GMES soon EU programme
Commission Proposal for a Regulation
European earth observation Programme GMES
and its initial operations (2011-2013)
adopted on 20 May 2009 - codecision in high gear
• Main objectives
 European earth observation programme
scope, organisational arrangements, data
policy, infrastructure
6 thematic areas: land, ocean, atmosphere,
emergency, security & climate change
 Rules for initial operations
propose supplementary funding
Council requests on CC
• Space Council September 2008
 Recognised space & CC as key priority
 Asked for study on needs for full access to
standardised data/for increased computing
power
 Called on EC to define how GMES services and
European space observation archives can
contribute most effectively to the provision of
data
• Competitiveness Council December 2008
 invited EC to foster the implementation of the
GMES climate change monitoring to support the
EU policies
EC response
• JRC hosted a workshop incl. EC, space agencies,
meteorological and research org.
• As a result a study report has been drafted
summarising the workshop findings
 Need for standardised data confirmed
 Need for more distributed computing and
networking confirmed
 Absolute need for operational funding for global reanalysis
 No need for central CC research Institute.
• Outcome justifies moving forward on the political front,
especially with announced EC priorities for the years
to come: ”need to provide necessary data basis for
our policies, especially adaptation”
Situation today
• GCOS has made global plan for UNFCCC and GEO
• EUMETSAT operational activities with own satellites;
 climate requirements in future programmes & produce
climate data records from archives (SAFs)
• ESA building Sentinels for GMES as operational fleet
from 2012 onwards and has many research missions
 6-year Climate Change Initiative
• ECMWF has global atmospheric reanalysis modelling
• GMES reanalysis of ECVs in service precursors
(MyOcean,MACC) & 3 climate projects in call 2009
• FP7 Environment: research projects on Climate
scenarios, Adaptation costs, Regional CC impacts etc.
Way forward: Space obs
• Europe needs a long-term collection from
space to assess climate variables
• Continue with ESA and EUMETSAT actions
• Add GMES Sentinels as new continuous
component
• Archive all to enable reprocessing & finding
new information in old records
• Complement Space with globally distributed insitu to maximise information quality and
coverage
Way forward: Exploit spacederived climate data
• Europe needs operational assimilation,
processing and reanalysis of satellitederived data for long-term, continuous and
consistent climate information
• ECMWF has capacity for global reanalysis
• Until now only time-limited research funding
• Need to establish sustained operational
services
• All ECVs need to be assessed under resource
constrains
Service process scheme
RTD
ENV/
CC
ESA CCI or
EUM SAFs
CC models
• initialisation
• prediction
GMES
GAtmosCS
GCC service
Coupled
(L,M,A)
Global / EU
ReAnalysis
+
Impact
models
Delayed consistent ECV
time series and impact stats
MarineCS
TCDR=NRT ECV products
Fundamental Climate DR
ESA / EUMETSAT
satellite data processing
LandMCS
Users:
Socio
economic
Models;
Environm.
Assessment;
Downstream
services;
Policy
Makers;
Scientists
Conclusions
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use current GMES resources to start for sustaining
the most crucial climate services
coordinate with all relevant European actors the
information processing activities: from
“observations” up to “inputs to decision-makers”
with coherence between actors including organising
reanalysis and climate scenario production
prioritise observation requirements for climate
monitoring in designing future observation systems;
develop with European actors a proactive strategy
with international partners to jointly meet the
challenge of providing the best global knowledge
base on climate using existing frameworks