Transcript Mike W. Johnson, NWS Office of Science and Technology

Development of NWS Satellite
User Readiness
Mike Johnson
NWS/OST
November 4, 2009
Overview
• Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic
Goal
• Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products
• NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R
Satellite Products in Context of
Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 1)
• Strategic Goal: Develop a fully integrated
observation system (e.g., satellite, radar, upper
air, etc), along with (automated?) analysis tools to
fully exploit data and enable strategic warn-onforecast stretch goals
– Forecaster increasingly won’t have time to analyze
growing amounts of observational & model data
– Need to assimilate observations from multiple platforms
into products that directly address forecast & warning
needs (e.g. convective initiation giving specific
convective threat, icing threat, flood potential - versus –
perceptible water observation, surface moisture & snow
cover observations, freezing level observation)
– End-State Objective: System automatically analyzes the
data and determines when the forecaster needs to react
Satellite Products in Context of
Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 2)
• Strategic Goal is end-state objective – We will
likely not be there at Day-1 GOES-R
But….
• We need to be moving in that direction
• There are things we should be pursuing now and
the satellite community can and should be
leading the way!
Near-Term Satellite Challenges
• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will
be available to Users?
– Push-Pull, Product integration, AWIPS development.
How will GAS work (details)?
– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers
– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how
to handle localized products
• Training – How do we prepare users for this
explosion of data and implications to warning
processes near term (day 1)
• How do we systematically progress towards our
strategic goal
NWS AWIPS SBN
Data Rate Projections
20
18
16
w/MPAR
Daily-Mean Data Rate (Mbps)
14
w/GOES-S
12
w/GOES-R
Other
Satellite
w/NPOESS C2
10
Radar
Model
8
w/NPOESS C1
6
w/NPP
4
2
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Calendar Year
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
6
Preparing NWS for Future
Satellite Products
• GOES-R Proving Ground (PG) Activities guided by Proving Ground
Plan
• NWS User-Readiness & Infrastructure Planning Studies
• NWS User Readiness Working Group Formed to develop userreadiness – feed back to PG activities
– Initially, group is small internal NWS member group which will grow
incrementally as topic matures & user coordination expands
Preparing NWS for Future Satellite
Products (NWS User Readiness Working Group)
• Formed to address NWS User Readiness Risk associated with
impact that GOES-R, NPOESS, other-satellites, AWIPS
development, rapid increases in data volume, & changes to data
delivery will have on NWS Users.
• Effort to examine in an integrated way:
– the products that GOES-R, NPOESS, and other satellite programs are
expected to deliver to NWS & when.
– Corresponding development of communications pathways and AWIPS
Extended
– User guided discussions on push-pull trades and optimum achievable
product deliveries.
– Identify systematic high-level pathway to achieve strategic goals
(merged observing system)
• User-coordinated / senior approved initial position / roadmap
available late Spring 2010
– Expectation to present to May 10 SRSST Meeting
Conclusion
• GOES Users’ Conference offers a great
opportunity to get user feedback on the transition
to the GOES-R era
– Breakout sessions are specifically focused on this
• We plan to take the results of these breakout
sessions to
– Help define the framework and milestones for the way
ahead
Backup Slides
Strategic Goal:
Integrated Observation/Analysis
System
Strategies
National Mesonet
Network of
networks
Current
Individual Systems
Public
Private
Universities
Radar
Satellite
Surface; in-Situ
Upper Air
Etc
Analysis
Integrated Radar
(Lidar, gap-fillers,
MPAR)
Global Systems
Inventory systems,
and metadata
Standards
Assess interdependencies, oversampling,
gaps, levels of criticalit
Future
Weather Information
Database
Multisensor
platforms
Optimization with
OSEs, OSSEs
Standards,
Architectures,
Protocols
Maximize value
of investment
GOES Data
System C
System B
System A
Satellites
Rawindsones
Integrated Radar System
OpenIOOS
Architecture
MADIS
NWS User-System Readiness for
GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite
Missions Task
• NWS/OST Systems Engineering Center leading this task
• The goal of this task is to design an architecture that will
support future mission data and to develop a roadmap for
implementing this design
• The new series of GOES satellites (GOES-R) and POES
satellites (NPOESS) will have increased data rates, new data
formats, and new products
NWS User-System Readiness for
GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite
Missions Task
• This task will investigate the impact of GOES-R and other
future environmental data by:
– Finalizing the “as is” architecture and data products for NCEP,
NWSTG and AWIPS
– Support the development of requirements for the end-state
architectures
– Finalize architectures based on these requirements
– Develop a road-map for the evolution of moving from current state
to the end-state architectures
•
Completion in September 2010