Transcript Earthquakes

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Risk Management and Insurance: Perspectives in a Global Economy
5. Catastrophe Risk Assessment:
Natural Hazards
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Information
Points to Ponder
Catastrophic events: definitions and trends
Types of natural disasters
Gee Gees (Insight 5.3)
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Swiss Re Definition for 2005 Reporting Period
For 2006 Reporting Period:
Shipping – 16.1M
Aviation – 32.2 M
Other Losses – 40 M
Or Total Losses – 80M
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Munich Re Definition
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Frequency of Catastrophes
(Figure 5.1)
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Overall and Insured Losses
Yearly economic and insured losses from great natural
catastrophes, along with trend lines for each.
Economic reasons explain much of the concentration trend.
Additionally, people are drawn to areas that hold potential for greater
economic prosperity, such as cities.
Personal reasons explain this concentration trend.
Figure 5.2
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Overall and Insured Losses (Figure 5.2)
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Types of Natural Disasters
Earthquakes
Storms
Floods
Volcanism
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World Map of Natural Hazards
Earthquake
Flood
Volcanic Eruption
Storm
Other
Source: World of Natural Hazards (2000)
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Earthquakes
Earthquakes are caused by friction between moving tectonic
plates.
Earthquakes originate at fairly well-defined faults.
The Pacific Rim is especially prone to earthquake activity
Ring of Fire (Figure 5.3)
Recent events
1976 Tangshan, China
2003 Iranian earthquake
2005 in Kashmir, Pakistan
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Ring of Fire
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Tsunamis and Earthquakes
Tsunami
Large, rapidly moving ocean waves produced by the displacement of
water caused by earthquakes, landslides, volcanic eruptions or even
a sufficiently large meteorite impact.
December 26, 2004, Tsunami near Indonesia
Canary Islands (Insight 5.1)
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Storms
Generically known as “tropical storms”
Various names by region
Typhoon
Severe tropical cyclone
Severe cyclonic storm
Tropical cyclone
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Beaufort Scale of Wind Velocity
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Saffir–Simpson Scale
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Average Number of Tropical Storms and Hurricanes
9.7
8.2
12.3
2.1
6.4
Atlantic Basin
Eastern Pacific Basin
Western Pacific Basin
Other Regions
10.6
28.1
Bay of Bengal Region
Indian Ocean Basin
Australian Region
13.8
Fiji Region
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2005 Hurricane Season
A highly active start to the season
Peak intensity values
Lowest central pressure ever recorded
Record number of named tropical cyclones
New areas affected – Europe and Africa
Hurricane Katrina (U.S.) and a failure of government
Insight 5.2
Also check “A Failure
of Initiative”
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Floods
Partial or complete inundation of a normally dry land area
caused by an overflow of tidal, river, or lake water or after a
heavy rain
100-year flood
Flood damage can result from a single event, such as a
hurricane or thunderstorm. Floods also occur due to
repeated exposure to rainfall.
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Volcanism
Volcano
The vents in the earth’s crust through which gases, molten rock or
lava, and solid fragments are discharged and to the conical shaped
mountains or hills produced by the lava and other erupted material
around the vent
Lava
Magma
Volcanic hazard assessment
Climate change and volcanism
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Summary of Discussion – Gee Gees (Insight 5.3)
Add your/students’
points!
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Discussion Questions
Discussion Question 1
Is your country of birth or residence immune from natural
catastrophe? If not, find the records of recent natural events
that caused human casualty, property damage or both. Do
they meet the definition of catastrophe by an international
organization or insurer?
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Discussion Question 2
Discuss why tsunamis are closely related to earthquakes.
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Discussion Question 3
What are the possible factors affecting the rise of natural
catastrophes in modern society? Describe the factors also
reflecting the environments in the region with which you are
familiar (e.g., the Caribbean, northern European or South
Pacific).
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Discussion Question 4
Investigate the process of recovery from Hurricane Katrina
(U.S.), the 2004 tsunami (Indian Ocean), or any major
natural catastrophe in recent years. Examine the scale,
scope and speed of the process to estimate how long it will
take to complete it.
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