Transcript pptx - Keewatin Career Development Corporation.

Northern Economic and Labour Market Trends
Report
NLMC November 9, 2016
Trends Report
• Purpose - to provide an update of information about the
economy and workforce of Northern Saskatchewan
• Population, Education, Employment and Income of our
region and comparisons to northern Territories
• Information on Major Occupations, vacancy projections
• Recommendations for Economic and Human Resource
Strategy Development
Trends Report - Population
• N SK percentage of
population 15 and under
decreased from 37.2% to
30 % between 1996 and
2015
Percentage of youth still high, but decreasing
Percentage of Population Under 15
40
35
30
• Still much higher than
Sask’s at 19.3%
25
20
15
10
5
0
North 1996
North 2015
Saskatchewan 1996
Saskatchewan 2015
Trends Report - Population
• N SK percentage of
population 65 + more
than doubled from 1,128
to 2,448 between 1996
and 2015
Number of Elders is growing
Number of people 65+
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1
2
North 1996
North 2015
Trends Report - Population
N SK one of 3 regions in Canada with over 80% Indigenous Population
Trends Report - Education
N SK Educational Profile resembles that of Nunavut
Educational Achievement
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
No Cert
High
School
College
North
Nunavut
Trades
Saskatchewan
University
• Lower educated
residents are qualified
for fewer jobs in the
region and less mobile to
look for work elsewhere
Trends Report – Employment and Income
N SK Employment Rate – 38.4%
Nunavut Employment Rate – 55.8%
N SK Median Income – $16,860
Nunavut Median Income - $28,580
Median Income 2011
Employment Rates
70
35000
60
30000
50
25000
40
20000
30
15000
20
10000
10
5000
0
0
1
2
Canada
Saskatchewan
3
North
4
Nunavut
1
2
Canada
Saskatchwan
3
North
4
Nunavut
N SK Employment and Income considerably lower than Nunavut despite similar educational profile
Trends Report – Employers and Workers
N SK Employers – Approx. 902
Nunavut Employers – Approx. 1351
N SK # Working – Approx. 9,000
Nunavut # Working – Approx. 13,000
Number of Employers
1600
16000
1400
14000
1200
12000
1000
10000
800
8000
600
6000
400
4000
200
2000
0
0
N SK
Nunavut
Number Employed
North
Nunavut
N SK has fewer employers and # working than Nunavut despite similar population #s
(39,212 N SK; 36,500 Nunavut)
Trends Report – Sectors
N SK Economy on par or better than Territories in Mining, Education and Health Sectors
– all others lower
Number Employed by Sector
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
N SK
Nunavut
Yukon
NWT
Trends Report – Factors
Factors Affecting N SK Economy
• Negatively affected by economic drain to other regions
• People and businesses that work in the north and live elsewhere
• Goods and services obtained from other regions
• Resources taken outside region for processing
• Little Recent Capital Investment in Region
• Construction projects few, employment low
• Reflects low price of main commodity: Uranium
• Reflects low activity level in other sectors
Trends Report – Factors
• N SK economy reflective of Economic Development efforts of last 35 years
• Since discovery of high grade uranium deposits the primary focus has been on
building human resource and business capacity to meet the needs of Mining
sector – this has been correct and effective
• However, this success enabled the slow erosion of development efforts in other
sectors (low R & D and capital investment, fewer resources available)
• Current Economic Development profile reflects this history with strong activity
only in Mining, Education, and Health
Major Occupations reflect active economic sectors of Mining, Education, Health
Occupation
Elementary and Secondary Teachers, College Instructors, Early Childhood
Educators, Other Instructors
# Working
Rank
1215
1
Light Duty Cleaners and Janitors
590
2
Underground Miners and Drillers and Mine and Drill Labourers
Accounting Technicians, General Office Support, Reception, Data Entry,
Accounting Clerks, Payroll Clerks, Library, Shipper/Receiver, Dispatcher
445
3
430
4
Retail Sales
410
5
Teacher Assistants
260
6
Heavy Equipment Operators
Construction Trades Helpers and Labourers, Public Works Labourers
220
7
210
8
Registered Nurses
205
9
Process Operators, Power Engineers, Processing Labourers
200
10
Demand Projection based on Vacancy Rate (2.4%) and Major Projects (Gunnar, Tazi Twe)
Major Occupations (Similar Skill Sets)
Elementary and Secondary Teachers, College Instructors, Early Childhood Educators,
Other Instructors
Heavy Equipment Operators
Construction Trades Helpers and Labourers, Public Works Labourers
Light Duty Cleaners and Janitors
Currently 5 Year
Employed Projection
1215
220
210
590
146
105
94
81
Carpenters
275
57
Accounting Technicians, General Office Support, Reception, Data Entry, Accounting
Clerks, Payroll Clerks, Library, Shipper/Receiver, Dispatcher
430
56
Admin Officers, Executive Assistants, HR, Property Admin, Admin Assistants
Retail Sales
Teacher Assistants
Chefs and Cooks
Registered Nurses
Security Guards
Ironworkers
Firefighters
440
415
260
200
205
195
25
190
53
49
31
29
25
23
23
23
Trends Report – Observations
• N SK high youth population makes overall economic growth challenging
• 240 jobs/year through 2.4% vacancy (10,000 jobs)
• 600 new workers/year entering workforce
• 700 new jobs/year needed to get to provincial employment rate of 60% in 10
years
• About 300 new jobs/year needed just to keep up
• About 1,000 new jobs/year needed to get to provincial rate in 10 years (or
combination of jobs and export of workers)
• Although important, education is not the only factor affecting our employment rate
• In addition to strategic post-secondary education and training, we need
development of our economy to create jobs
Trends Report – Observations
• Ideas for N SK Economic Development may be gained by review of Economic
Development Initiatives in the Territories. Common Elements are:
• Certain sectors are targeted for development
• Public promotion of investment opportunities
• A strategic plan in place to guide development efforts
• Given the challenges of creating enough jobs in the region, it may also make sense
to prepare workers for employment outside the region as well
• This adds new aspects and considerations to training besides skill demand in the
region
Trends Report – Observations
• Two linked Strategies may work best:
• Economic Development
• Human Resource Development
• Economic Development Strategy
• Use sectoral approach that identifies sectors targeted for growth and initiatives
within
• Private sector investment a major driver
• Regional plan refined at community level
• Outcomes and Indicators defined
• Human Resource Strategy
• Analysis of numbers entering workforce and northern, provincial, and national demand
• Promotion of careers in demand occupations
• Marketing northern workers outside region
• Regional plan refined at community level
• Outcomes and Indicators defined
Trends Report – Observations
• Government Assistance at Federal or Provincial levels to develop these strategies
does not need to be extensive
• It would not benefit the residents of N SK to wait for these levels of government
to initiate the development
• However, involvement would be welcome
• The Northern Labour Market Committee (NLMC) may have the reach necessary for
Strategy Development
• Committee originally set up about 35 years ago to guide training development,
and has been successful
• Things have changed in 35 years, however
• NLMC open membership and sector sub committees could work very well for
creation of economic development and human resource strategies
• Could reach out to other partners – communities, industry, business, NGO,
Education, Health, Associations
Trends Report – Observations
• It is possible to start to reverse the flow of economy out of N SK. This can be
achieved by
• Attracting investment
• Selling products and services
• Attracting residency
The corridors through which our economy flows out to other regions go both ways.
Economy can flow back to our region through the same corridors.
• Knowledge development in N SK is essential to economic growth. Areas that need
applied research and knowledge dissemination are:
• Market knowledge – demand for products and services - specific demographics
and regions
• Geomatics – technologies that enable study of plant abundance and ecological
sensitivity, map creation to inform sustainable development practices and land
access policy
Trends Report – Follow Up
• Full Report available online at: www.kcdc.ca
• More detailed reports on Sector activity forthcoming. Mining in early 2017 after
feedback received on effects of Rabbit Lake slowdown
• Update to full report in November 2017
• KCDC will continue activities related to career services, economic development, and
training to employment
• Community Economic Development Intern Training (with Geomatics)
• Post Secondary Graduate Employment Service
• Workshop Coordination, product and market research for Non-Timber Forest
Products
• Support for exploration sector through “Core Day” and advocacy for Pre
Cambrian Laboratory
• Career Events and presentations, program and resource development
• Custom training development and coordination services (e.g. Fish Plant worker
for Ile a la Crosse Fish Co.)
Trends Report – Follow Up
• KCDC widening its scope as an industry/education council
• Include support of economic development
• Expanding its membership to: “Any organization that Serves Northern
Saskatchewan”
• Changing its mission statement to: “support sustainable socio economic
development in Northern Saskatchewan by connecting communities, business,
industry, educational institutions and employment agencies”
• Changing its name to Keewatin Community Development Association.
Thank You!
Randy Johns
CEO, KCDC
(306) 425-0371
[email protected]
www.kcdc.ca
https://www.facebook.com/KeewatinCareerDevelopmentCorporation/