Transcript English

ACTION PLAN FOR IMPLEMENTING SNA 2008
20th – 22nd April 2016,
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Presented by: The Gambia
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Outline of Presentation
Background
 Mandate
 Role of Statistics in National Development
 Situational Analysis of National Accounts in The Gambia
 Constraints/challenges
Steps taken for improvement
Highlights of Recent developments
Strategic Goals
Monitoring & Evaluation
Cost of the five year Planned Activities
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Background-Mandate
The Gambia Bureau of Statistics (GBoS) is a semi-autonomous
agency under oversight function of the Ministry of Finance and
Economic Affairs (MoFEA);
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The Bureau is the principal body responsible for:
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Established by an Act of Parliament, the 2005 Statistics Act;
Used to operate as a government department (Central Statistics
Department) under MoFEA as it was established by the Statistics Act,
1972;
Collecting, analysing and disseminating statistical data for central
economic management and decision making;
Monitoring and coordinating the National Statistical System;
Carrying out central functions required for all other statistical
services.
Background-
Mandate cont’d
 The 2005 Statistics Act requires
enhanced capacity to produce and use good quality statistics
to achieve The Gambia’s development goals for public policies
and private investment decision making:
 The first National Strategy for the Development of Statistics
(NSDS I - 2007 - 2011);
 The second NSDS II 2016-2020 which is a sector wise
(SSDS) approach
sets out priorities, strategies and action plans
 improve the quality of data production, management and utilization
within the organization to meet changing user needs.
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Background –Role of Statistics in National Development
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Provide comprehensive, timely and accurate Statistical Information
 crucial for effective national development, policymaking, as well as for
monitoring & evaluation processes;
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Provides a foundation upon which scarce resources are allocated to
fundamental needs such as health, housing and education
 an objective account of the socio–economic situation of a nation;
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Emphasis on the use of statistical data in the formulation and
monitoring & evaluation of policies;
 Vision 2020; the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) and the Programme
for Accelerated Growth and Employment (PAGE) were formulated in line with
the MDG’s and now SDG’s
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Background –Situational Analysis of National Accounts in The Gambia
The National Accounts unit forms the core unit within the
economic statistics directorate of GBoS;
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Collects, compiles and analyzes data to produce annual Gross
Domestic Product (GDP) by the production and expenditure
approaches;
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In 2005/06 GBoS conducted a census of the Gambian economy
 Compilation of a new benchmark level for the GDP;
Migration from 1968 SNA to 1993 SNA;
old GDP series of 1976/77 benchmark (SNA68) was replaced by
an up to date base 2004
Background –Situational Analysis of National Accounts in The Gambia
–cont’d
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In 2003/04 an Integrated Household Survey (IHS) was conducted
Rebasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Household Final Consumption Expenditure (HFCE)
old CPI series of 1974 base was also revised to 2004 base
Background- Constraints/Challenges
 The compilation of GDP for subsequent years has relied on
indicators for most sectors
 as such became insufficient in terms of frequency, detail and coverage
over time
 Lack of
 quality source data on a regular and timely basis
 adequately trained staff
 proper co-ordination within the National Statistical System
 resources to undertake annual establishment /household surveys;
 a comprehensive and well maintained business register
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Background- Constraints/Challenges
 Further improvements in National Accounts compilation will
depend on
1.
Quality source data
 Regular establishment surveys
 Regular household surveys
 More and better use of administrative data
2.
Better trained staff
 Documentation/metadata produced and up to date
 Training provided in-house and external
 Succession planning/recruitment action to deal with staff turnover
3.
Good relations with data providers/users
 Memorandum of Understandings (MoUs)
 Working groups – macro-economic working group, industry coding
working group
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Steps taken for improvement
A medium-term plan was developed with the following vision and mission
statement for the next five years:
Vision
 To produce quality economic statistics and national accounts consistent
with international standards and satisfying user need.
Mission
 To produce quality, reliable, relevant and timely national accounts
statistics that will influence policy formulation and decision making as
well as satisfy academia.
Core Values
- Confidentiality, Professionalism, and Integrity;
- Teamwork, Commitment, and Results-Oriented;
- Sustainability, Accountability, and Transparency.
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Steps taken for improvement-cont’d
The medium-term plan for National accounts is in line with the
NSDS and the GBoS SSDS:
1. Ensured that it is relevant to national development objectives
and is practical and sustainable;
2. Identified the outputs to be produced and the timelines;
3. Identified the main actors/stakeholders;
4. Assessed the capacity and skills to undertake the task and
requested for technical assistance;
5. Put in place mechanisms for government support, endorsement
and funding.
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Highlights of recent developments
 Secured sustainable funding from the Government to conduct annual
establishment survey;
 Secured funding from Development Partners –World Bank for the
conduct of an economic census in 2014/15 to rebase GDP from 2004 to
2013
 Phase 1 of the Economic Census concluded April 2015 (listing of all
establishments with fixed structures);
 Phase 2, the Business Establishment Survey is underway
 Data collection complete
 Data processing is ongoing
 Data compilation commenced
 Complies with 2008 SNA and ISIC Rev. 4
 The World Bank has provided a resident advisor;
 IMF AFW2 missions has also contributed to all aspects of the Economic
Census development and processing;
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Strategic Goals
 Strategic goal 1: Organizational Development and
Management
Main activities:
i.
Coordination, Collaboration, and information sharing with relevant
stakeholders for development and improvement of the system of
administrative statistics;
ii.
Preparation of a Communication Strategy for Statistical Advocacy on
National Accounts;
iii. Restructuring of the national accounts unit; and
iv. Recruitment of three additional staff for national accounts.
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Strategic Goals Cont’d
 Strategic goal 2: Human Resources Development
Main activities:
i.
Develop and implement a sustainable training policy and programme
for capacity building and skills development of both existing staff and
new recruits;
ii.
Provide attractive incentive packages for staff retention;
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Strategic Goals Cont’d
 Strategic goal 3: Data Development
Main activities
i.
Enhance data quality through review of methodologies and
instruments for data collection to be in line with international best
practices; (Benchmarking and Rebasing of National Accounts in compliance with
2008 SNA)
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iv.
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Review and updating administrative sources data and methods for
estimating GVA for the Agriculture, Mining, Finance & Insurance,
Public Administration, and public Health and Education;
Industry coding of the GRA list of business establishment
Development and constant updating of a Statistical Business Register
Strategic Goals Cont’d
 Strategic goal 3: Data Development
Main activities (cont)
v.
Evaluate the available and sustainable data sources and implement a
regular program of annual establishment surveys so as to maintain
quality and reliable national accounts estimates onwards;
vi. Derive a mechanism for estimating GVA for the Informal sector;
 Analyze and make use of the 2015 household income and
expenditure survey for updating estimates of Household Final
consumption Expenditure;
vii. Development and production of Quarterly National Accounts;
viii. Conduct of another economic census (2020)
 Rebase GDP
 SUT compilation
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Strategic Goals Cont’d
 Strategic goal 4: Data Management, Dissemination
and Access
Main activities
i.
Proper data backup system (internal and external) to ensure data
security;
ii.
Prepare a calendar of release for National Accounts products;
iii. Organize Press Release with media for reporting and dissemination of
rebased GDP figures;
iv. Procurement of CD’s and USB’s for data dissemination;
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Strategic Goals Cont’d
 Strategic goal 5: Infrastructure and Equipment
Main activities
i.
Create enough office space and make available proper furniture's;
ii.
Put in place proper IT infrastructure with better management
systems;
iii. Identify appropriate software’s for processing National Accounts;
iv. Upgrade library with up-to-date
publications/reports/journals/newsletters on national accounts and
economic indicators;
v.
Improve and modernize GBoS website and provide adequate LAN and
WIFI internet connection.
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Strategic Goals Cont’d
 Strategic goal 6: Develop Financing Strategy
 Main activities
i.
ii.
Mainstreaming the National Accounts Action Plan into the GBoS
sector strategy, the NSDS and ensure that NSDS is funded under the
national development plan (PAGE).
Hold Donor’s conference towards mobilization of funds.
The success of the implementation of the National
Accounts Strategic Plan will largely depend on the flow of
funds for the development of statistics. It is expected that
government of the Gambia and development partners will
commit themselves to financing the activities elaborated in
this plan through the NSDS and the PAGE.
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Monitoring & Evaluation
 A logical framework will be developed to facilitate regular
monitoring and evaluation of the NSDS II, the GBoS SSDS as
well as the implementation process of the National Accounts
Action Plan;
 The framework will focus on improvements made and will
also assess the outcome of the project;
 Monitoring will be undertaken on a quarterly basis while
annual and mid-term reviews will be conducted to
consolidate the status of development in the Action plan;
 The review exercises will involve key stakeholders and a
report on the status of implementation will be produced.
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Cost of the five year Planned Activities
Enhance partnership with key stakeholders- $35,000
2. Improve on the quality of source data-$625,000
3. Data Management, Dissemination and Access: organize
press release, Procurement of CD’s, USB’s $7,500
4. Human Resource Development and Capacity Building $250,000
5. Advocacy programmes/materials-$50,000
6. Infrastructure and ICT: hardware's and software's, systems
maintenance-$7,500
7. Conduct of another economic census-$650,000.
Total cost=$1,625.
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End of Presentation
Thank you for your attention
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