Transcript Slide 1

Agenda item 1b
UNECE-EUROSTAT-OECD meeting on national
accounts: session for transition economies
Geneva, 21 April 2008
Ad hoc surveys and measuring
the non-observed economy in
Western Balkan countries
David Roberts, OECD
EUROSTAT-EFTA-OECD NOE project
for Western Balkan countries
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Two phases:
– Phase I: September 2004 to January 2006; funded
by Eurostat; carried out by statistical agencies of
WBC in consultation with the OECD
– Phase II: January 2007 to February 2008; funded by
EFTA; carried out by statistical agencies of WBC in
consultation with Statistics Norway and the OECD
OBJECTIVES
• Apply the Eurostat tabular approach to exhaustiveness to:
– Production account (Phase I & II)
– Expenditure account (Phase II)
• Estimate output of owner-occupied dwellings by the user
cost approach (Phase I & II)
• Make estimates of output and value added from illegal
activities (Phase II)
• Carry out ad hoc surveys (Phase I & II)
SUMMARY RESULTS
Country
NOE adjustment
(% of GDP) in 2005
Albania
41.7
Bosnia Herzegovina
7.2
Croatia
9.0
FYR of Macedonia
22.7
Montenegro
5.5
Serbia
13.5
AD HOC SURVEYS: TOPICS
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Individual agricultural producers (FOSBiH, MONSTAT)
Individual construction (SIRS)
Construction firms (SOK)
Hotels & restaurants (FOSBiH)
Tourism (MONSTAT)
Unincorporated enterprises in healthcare activities (SIRS)
H/hold expenditure on healthcare, education & tips (RSOS)
Prostitution (CBS)
Remittances from abroad received by resident h/holds &
expenditure abroad by resident h/holds (RSOS)
AD HOC SURVEYS: ADJUSTMENTS (% of GDP)
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Individual agricultural producers - FOSBiH: + 0.5%
Individual agricultural producers - MONSTAT: + 1.2%
Hotels & restaurants – FOSBiH: + 1.5%
Tourism – MONSTAT: + 0.3%
H/hold expenditure on healthcare, education & tips –
RSOS: + 0.4%
• Prostitution – CBS: + 0.6%
• Remittances from abroad received by resident h/holds –
RSOS: + 6.5%
AD HOC SURVEYS: SOME LESSONS LEARNT
• Surveys do not have to be random samples, selection can
be purposive; innovation should be encouraged
• Having a household budget survey infrastructure in place
is an advantage – sampling frame, interviews, modules
• Need to cross-check against other sources & to adjust or
discard survey results for inconsistencies or ”bias”
• Useful to share & compare results with countries having
similar economies