Transcript MfDR and National Planning - CoP-MfDR

Asia-Pacific Community of Practice
on MfDR (APCoP)
Country Paper: Vietnam
“Integrated
Results-Based National Development
Planning & M&E”
Siem Reap: 30/11 – 2/12/2010
National
Development Plan
SEDP 2011-2015
1
Presentation Outline
 Viet Nam - Overview and Background
 National Development Planning Overview
 National Results Framework for SEDP
 Budget Process & Links to National Plan
 Monitoring and Evaluation
 Challenges & Next Steps
2
Viet Nam – Basic Information
Facts and Figures
Name Viet Nam
(long form) Socialist Republic of Viet Nam
Population 86.02 Million (2009)
Capital City Hanoi
Currency Dong (VND)
Languages Vietnamese (official), English, French,
Chinese, Khmer, others
Independence Day September 2, 1945
Area: 329,560 sq km (land & water)
GDP: $91.5 Billion USD (GSO Viet Nam)
PCI: $1,064 (2009) (GSO Virt Nam)
Real growth rate: 5.32% (2009)
Inflation rate: 6.88% (average monthly Consumer
Price Index of 2009, year-on-year; 8.50% (average
monthly CPI of first quarter 2010).
External debt (2009): 32.8% of GDP, $30.1 billion
3
Viet Nam – Basic Information
Facts and Figures
Natural Resources: Coal, crude oil, zinc, copper, silver, gold, manganese, iron.
Agriculture, forestry, and fisheries (20.91% of GDP, 2009): Principal products--rice, coffee,
cashews, maize, pepper (spice), sweet potato, pork, peanut, cotton, plus extensive
aquaculture of both fish and shellfish species.
Cultivated land--12.2 million hectares. Land use--21% arable; 28% forest and woodland;
51% other.
Industry and construction (40.24% of GDP, 2009): Principal types--mining and quarrying,
manufacturing, electricity, gas, water supply, cement, phosphate, and steel.
Services (38.85% of GDP, 2009): Principal types--tourism, wholesale and retail, repair of
vehicles and personal goods, hotel and restaurant, transport storage, telecommunications.
Trade (2009): Exports--$57.1 billion (2010 estimated: $14.0 billion)
Principal Exports: crude oil, garments/textiles, footwear, fishery and seafood products, rice
(world’s second-largest exporter), pepper (spice; world’s largest exporter), wood products,
coffee, rubber, handicrafts; Major export partners--U.S., EU, Japan, China, Australia,
Singapore, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Imports--$68.8 billion (first quarter 2010:
$17.5 billion)
Principal Imports: machinery, oil and gas, iron and steel, garment materials, plastics.
Major import partners--China, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and
4
Thailand. Exports to U.S. (2009)--$12.3 billion. Imports from U.S. (2009)--$3.1 billion.
Viet Nam’s
Integrated Development Planning & M&E
SEDP 2011-2015
5
National Development Planning –
Overview (1)
• Time Dimensions for Development Planning
► Socio Economic Development Strategy (10 yrs)
► Socio Economic Development Plan (SEDP) (5 yrs)
► Annual Plan (AP) (1 yr)
• First SEDP was from 1961-1965
• Collaboration and Consultation
National
Development Plan
6
National Development Planning –
Overview (2)
•
•
•
•
Decree 99/2006 & Decision 555/2007
Decision 751/2009
Results framework & Target Setting
Challenges with M&E indicators & data
National
Development Plan
7
National Results Framework for SEDP
Four Pillars
1
2
3
4
Ensure high & sustained economic growth (economic)
Ensure progress in the social sectors to improve material
and spiritual lives of people (social)
Protect natural resources and environment for
sustainable development (environment)
Strengthen state governance, establish comprehensive marketoriented socialist economic institutions (governance)
8
Economic
Major Targets Under SEDP 2011-2015
 Average GDP growth rate: 7-7.5% / year
 GDP structure in 2015:
• Agriculture, forestry and fishery: 17%
• Industry and contruction: 42%
• Services: 41%
RESULTS
9
Major Targets Under SEDP 2011-2015
Social
 Poverty Rate: 11%
 Population: under 93 million
 Life expectancy: 74 years
 Urban Unemployment Rate: 4%
RESULTS
10
Environment
Major Targets Under SEDP 2011-2015
 Forest coverage rate: 42.5%
 Rural Pop. access to safe water: 96%
 Urban Pop. access to safe water: 98%
RESULTS
11
Governance
Major Targets Under SEDP 2011-2015
 Legal system reform
 Transparent fiscal policy
 Active & flexible financial/monetary policy
 Well managed government debt
 Labour wage & market price system reform
RESULTS
12
National Results Framework for SEDP
National Results Framework, Structure, & Contents
Decision 555 requirements on results framework
National outcomes & cascading
Ministry/Provincial level results frameworks,
contents, and linkages
Horizontal & Vertical integration
13
Planning Consultation and Dissemination
 SEDP and participatory process
 Consultations on macro results, indicators,
and targets
 Flexibility to agree on local results
 Additional local indicators and targets
14
National Budget Process & Links to
National Plan
Program/Project Based Budget allocation
Budget includes State & ODA
Move towards results-based budgeting
15
Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E)
M&E system: structure & data management
Roles & responsibilities of agencies
Decision 555 requirements on M&E
M&E
16
Challenges and Issues
√ Fine-tuning of macro indicators
√ SEDP results & budget decisions
√ Integration of SEDP with MTEF
√ M&E capacity & sustainability
√ Need for system tools & e-enabled systems
√ No costing & cost information
√ Over dependence on state budget
Policy/Program Decisions
17
Next Steps for Vietnam (1)
Strengthening of:
• SEDP 2011-2015 results
• Existing M&E system
• Results framework
• Horizontal & vertical integration
• Linkages between planning, budgeting &
personnel performance
• Institutional and functional setups
18
Next Steps for Vietnam (2)
 Adopt integrated development planning
 Results-based budgeting system
 Sustainable capacity building
 Adopt program approach for planning and results
management
 Evidence-based policy & program decision-making
19
National
Development Plan
RESULTS
MATTER
20
Thank You
Xin Cam On
21