Transcript Problem Analysis

Education and Economic Development:
A Framework for Analysis and
Development
Presentation to Kingston College
August 4, 2006
By Dr. Gervan Fearon
York University, Toronto, Ontario
Education and Economic Growth
 Economics context:





Overall government expenditures
Overall economic activity (GDP)
Individual household expenditures
Capital stock per person
Solow Model of Economic Growth
 Social – cultural context:





Cultural priority and focus
Social capital
Authur Lewis – Human Capital
Endogenous Economic Growth
Evolutionary Economics
Industrialized, Centrally Planned, LDCs – Per Capita GDP
14000
M e a n GD P P e r C a pi t a
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
1949
1954
1959
1964
1969 T i m e 1974
1979
1984
1989
1994
Selected Per Capita GDP
Capital Stock per Person - Jamaica
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
19
65
19
67
19
69
19
71
19
73
19
75
19
77
19
Time
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
Group Average, 2004
Lower middle
income
1995
2000
2004
LCR
2,140
2,940
3,300
..
..
79.9
101.5
94.7
95.3
119.3
113.6
65.7
86.3
88.1
84.7
73.8
7.8
15.4
19
27.5
22.8
..
94.4
97.1
5.1
6.1
4.9
4.3
3.5
32.5
33.6
27.5
23.9
21.7
..
18.9
19.1
18
18.7
Primary level (%)
..
5.2
8
12.4
..
Secondary level (%)
..
2.4
5.8
16.3
..
Socio-economic context
Per capita GNI (US$)
Adult literacy rate (%), (age 15 +)
3,576
90.2
1,686
89.4
Structure and coverage of the system
Gross enrollment ratio (%)
Primary level
Secondary level
Tertiary level
Student flow--secondary level
Progression to secondary level (%)
..
..
Public expenditure on education
Total spending as a % of GDP
Ratio of pupils to teachers
Primary level
Secondary level
Private sector enrollment share
Education
 Observations – economics growth and capital stock
in Jamaica has been outpaced by developments in
Industrialized Countries.
 Economic and Social Progress must focus on:
 Human Capital
 Social Capital
 Kingston College
 How can Kingston College play its role in the
economic and social progress of the nation.
 Strategic Planning and Operational Framework
Strategic Planning and Operational Framework
 Situation analysis
 Logic Model
 Implementation plan and evaluation
 Translating Concept into Action
 Overcoming Inertia
 Taking Ownership
 Celebrating Success and Continuous Learning
Situation Analysis
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach - Overview
Problem Definition
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Desired situation
Existing situation
Problematic gap
Strategic and operational plan for closing the
problematic gap
Resource utilization and capacity
Measurement of success
Implication for problematic gap and
communication to stakeholders
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach – Desired situation
• Desired situation
•
•
•
•
•
Value, vision and mission
Clients and Stakeholders
Products and Services
Resources and Capacity
Expected outcomes and measurements of
success
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach – Existing Situation
• Existing situation
•
•
•
•
•
Value, vision and mission
Clients and Stakeholders
Products and Services
Resources and Capacity
Expected outcomes and measurements of
success
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach – Problematic Gap
• Problematic gap
•
SWOT analysis
• Strengthens, weaknesses, opportunities and threats
•
360 Degree Analysis
• Clients and Stakeholders
•
Governance and organizational analysis
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach – Strategic Options
• Strategic Options
•
Description of the option
•
Impact analysis
•
•
•
•
•
Impact on clients and stakeholders
Impact on product and services
Impact on unit and organization
Impact on value, mission and vision
Impact on resources and capacity
•
Strategic and operational plan for implementing
option
•
Expected outcomes and measurements
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach - Resource utilization and capacity
• Human Resources
• Administrative support and structure
• Governance mechanism and procedures
• Computer and information technology
• Financial resources and physical capacity
• Institutional framework
• Environmental capacity
Situation Analysis
A Problem Analysis Approach - Measurement of success
• Expected outcomes
• Actual outcomes
• Five key measures of success
•
Four common to all units and departments and
one unique
Outcome Measurement and Evaluation
Problem Analysis - Reality
Metric
of
Success
Desired
Situation
Option 1
Option
Analysis
Option 2
Problematic
Gap
Option 3
Existing
Situation
Option 4
Inertia
Option 5
Time
Complainants
Dreamers
Problem
Problem Analysis - Static
Metric
of
Success
Desired
Situation
Evolved
Selected
Problematic
Gap
Strategic
Option
Existing
Situation
Today
Interim
Evaluation
Final
Evaluation
Time
Problem Analysis - Dynamic
Metric
of
Success
Desired
Situation II
Existing
Situation II
Desired
Situation I
Existing
Situation I
2006
2007
2008
2010
Time
Logic Model
Logic Model
Implementation plan and evaluation
Objective Performance Criteria for Assessment
Objective
School level
Teacher level
Learner level
Staff level
Community level
Performance Indicator
Criteria for Assessment
Concept into Action
Tradition vs Continuous Learning Environments
 Overcoming Inertia
 Taking Ownership
 Celebrating Success and Continuous Learning
Kingston College
Metric
of
Success
Desired
Situation II
Existing
Situation II
Desired
Situation I
Existing
Situation I
2006
2007
2008
2010
Time
Next Steps
 Strategic Planning and Operational Framework
 Action Plan
 Conducting strategic and operational planning
 Implementing planning
 Learning by doing
 Evaluating and innovating