Transcript Tanzania JAS: Proposed work program for Joint Analysis

Tanzania JAS: Proposed
work program for Joint
Analysis /Programming
DPG, June 6 2006
Context
 GoT led JAS process has produced key doc
on principles, but no immediate prospect of
joint analysis/program replacing agency
program documents
 Many agencies need some form of program
document in the near term
=> Need for short analysis/program document,
as DP response to Mkukuta/JAS, prepared by
end September latest
Components of a DIY program doc
 Part 1
 Part 2
 Part 3
 [Part 4]
JAS – existing text
Joint country analysis
Joint programming document
Optional, agency specific
supplement (preferably
kept to a minimum)
Part 2 - Joint analysis : progress
 Collective effort : 12 agencies actively
contributed, about 40+ individuals
 Outline agreed at DPG wide meetings in
April/May
 First drafts received on most sections,
circulated for drafting team review 31 May
 Compiled draft circulated for review to DP
working groups and DPG today
Joint analysis : general drafting
guidelines
 Main focus around Mkukuta implementation,
especially:


Strengthening national systems, domestic
accountability for results
Translating Mkukuta growth focus into practice
 Build on Mkukuta text, draw on existing
agreed texts as much as possible
 Keep it short : max 15 pages total
Joint analysis : next steps
 Review by DPG working groups (sections for
WGs proposed – but all comments welcome)
 Deadline for comments 16 June
 Review in July DPG meeting
 Joint analysis text then folded into combined
analysis program document, final draft to
DPG meeting September
Part 3 -Joint program doc : outline
 Intro, review of lessons learnt
 Managing external financing – mapping out
relation of JAS and annual planning and
budget process
 Joint programming – summary of key issues
from MTEF responses on Mkukuta financing,
consistency with JAS + annex tables
 Monitoring
 Risk analysis : identification, mitigation,
scenarios/response
Total External financing , % GDP, 99/06
14.0
12.0
% of GDP
10.0
8.0
Actual Donor Support
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
1
9
99
/00
2
0
00
/01
2
1
00
/02
2
2
00
/03
2
3
00
/04
2
4
00
/05
2
5
00
/06
Total External Financing, % GDP,
actual 99/06 + MTEF projection 07/09
14.0
12.0
8.0
Actual Donor Support
MTEF Projection 06
6.0
4.0
2.0
08
/0
9
20
07
/0
8
20
06
/0
7
20
05
/0
6
20
04
/0
5
20
03
/0
4
20
02
/0
3
20
01
/0
2
20
00
/0
1
20
99
/0
0
0.0
19
% of GDP
10.0
Total External Financing, actual + projections
14.0
12.0
8.0
Actual Donor Support
MTEF Projection 06
6.0
MTEF Projection 05
MTEF Projection 04
MTEF Projection 03
4.0
2.0
08
/0
9
20
07
/0
8
20
06
/0
7
20
05
/0
6
20
04
/0
5
20
03
/0
4
20
02
/0
3
20
01
/0
2
20
00
/0
1
20
99
/0
0
0.0
19
% of GDP
10.0
MTEF external financing projections
 DP projections on external financing needed
annually as input to MTEF preparation weaknesses in existing projections
highlighted by Government in recent PEFAR
consultations
 At 40%+ budget, comprehensive realistic
projections of external financing are a
prerequisite of sound fiscal management –
would be needed regardless of JAS, joint
program doc, etc.
MTEF projections (continued)
 GoT looking for realistic estimates of
projected disbursements for: budget support,
sector aid, projects, TA, local financing by
LGA, non state + projections on JAS
implementation
 New projections by late July can inform
preparation for next cycle and provide basis
for Joint Program doc
 Following PEFAR consultations, MTEF
template under discussion with GoT , to be
distributed to DPG next week
Tanzania
timelines
Joint Program
document
Tanzania
milestones
Joint Program
Doc
Joint programming challenges : issues
for a workshop
One day workshop mid July :
 Cross compare draft MTEF responses,
informal feedback
 Identify shared programming issues eg.





financing gaps/mismatch with Mkukuta
priorities,
scaling up
financing core reforms
expected fit with JAS principles
………….
Dialogue with GoT
 Close coordination with other JAS processes,
JAS implementation working group, DoL, etc
 Dialogue on MTEF template and analysis
(PER macro group)
 GoT interest in joint workshop, prior to
dialogue on full draft
Areas of work
 MTEF template/analysis
 Review of lessons learnt
 Risk analysis
 M&E
 Coordination, Editing
Issues for DPG
 Support for MTEF exercise from all DPs as
DPG response to GoT call for better planning
 Comments/guidance on proposed work
program for joint analysis/program doc
 Workshop : timing, scope, participation
 Timetable for final draft
 Volunteers to maintain inclusive DPG wide
engagement
 Wider stakeholder engagement